Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Kidderminster Harriers FC vs. FC Halifax Town: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Under 43%
1 arb excluded
$5.0K
$594.38
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Underavg 86¢ | $3.8K | $4.5K | +$621.48 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
 Secondhandvinyl | Underavg 91.5¢ | $411.65 | $450 | +$38.35 | 76% 257-83 (340) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 9.4¢ | $186.59 | $78.54 | -$108.05 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 9.4¢ | $123.55 | — | -$123.55 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 80.3¢ | $63.03 | $78.54 | +$15.5 | |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 7.3¢ | $29.4 | — | -$29.4 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 8¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 53% 7137-6246 (13383) |
PE pelik<$100 | Underavg 99.9¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 | 99% 1575-4 (1579) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 8¢ | $4.48 | — | -$4.48 | 49% 1169-1236 (2405) |
 alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Overavg 7¢ | $3.01 | — | -$3.01 | 45% 300-362 (662) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 8¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 37% 1063-1796 (2859) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Overavg 13.4¢ | $50 | — | -$20.56 | 85% 216-39 (255) |
RN1Invested
$3,836.52
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$621.48
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
SecondhandvinylInvested
$411.65
Value
$450
PnL
+$38.35
Record
76%
257-83 (340)
Invested
$186.59
Value
$78.54
PnL
-$108.05
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.4
Value
—
PnL
-$29.4
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
53%
7137-6246 (13383)
Invested
$5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
1575-4 (1579)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$4.48
Value
—
PnL
-$4.48
Record
49%
1169-1236 (2405)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$3.01
Value
—
PnL
-$3.01
Record
45%
300-362 (662)
Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
37%
1063-1796 (2859)
Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
-$20.56
Record
85%
216-39 (255)