Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Altrincham FC win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
No 83%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
$159.88
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 83.1¢ | $885.16 | $1.0K | +$150.3 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Yesavg 22.7¢ | $173.52 | $68.58 | -$104.94 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 97.6¢ | $66.9 | $68.58 | +$1.68 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 22.7¢ | $106.62 | — | -$106.62 | |
PE pelik<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $73.43 | $73.5 | +$0.07 | 99% 1575-4 (1579) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | $22.2 | $27.3 | +$7.1 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | $18.6 | $20 | +$1.4 | 37% 1002-1720 (2722) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | $6.4 | $8.42 | +$2.02 | 47% 936-1036 (1972) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $1.01 | — | -$1.01 | 48% 2157-2304 (4461) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $22 | — | +$0 | 69% 133-60 (193) |
Invested
$885.16
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$150.3
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Invested
$173.52
Value
$68.58
PnL
-$104.94
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Both legs:
Invested
$73.43
Value
$73.5
PnL
+$0.07
Record
99%
1575-4 (1579)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$22.2
Value
$27.3
PnL
+$7.1
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
Invested
$18.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.4
Record
37%
1002-1720 (2722)
Invested
$6.4
Value
$8.42
PnL
+$2.02
Record
47%
936-1036 (1972)
Invested
$1.01
Value
—
PnL
-$1.01
Record
48%
2157-2304 (4461)
Invested
$22
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
133-60 (193)