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No
LinaBell🦊CTR<$100YesYes
balthazar<$100NoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$370
Combined PnL
-$239.17
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$370
Total Shares370
Combined PnL+$16.34
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6,666
Combined PnL-$255.51
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BI bipbipbop | Noavg 99.3¢ | $353.66 | $370 | +$16.34 | 64% 2374-1317 (3691) |
LinaBell🦊CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $8.89 | — | -$255.51 | 19% 526-2292 (2818) |
BI BiggggggggCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 46% 2769-3315 (6084) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15335-27408 (42743) |
BI
bipbipbopInvested
$353.66
Value
$370
PnL
+$16.34
Record
64%
2374-1317 (3691)
LinaBell🦊CTR<$100Invested
$8.89
Value
—
PnL
-$255.51
Record
19%
526-2292 (2818)
BI
BiggggggggCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
2769-3315 (6084)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15335-27408 (42743)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0b364e33...4d6161
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-october-27-november-3-2026-160-179