Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
Resolved No. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Yes 100%
$0
-$46.09
Smart Money Signal
5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LinaBell🦊CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $10 | — | -$46.09 | 19% 526-2273 (2799) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 96.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20566-13016 (33582) |
KA kaxel78<$100 | Noavg 95.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 251-576 (827) |
PO pollo07<$100 | Noavg 95.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 303-656 (959) |
VA Vale54holi<$100 | Noavg 95.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 28% 159-410 (569) |
AK akroll<$100 | Noavg 95.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 306-649 (955) |
KL klli27<$100 | Noavg 95.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 31% 280-619 (899) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 95.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6266-5497 (11763) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12943-9852 (22795) |
BI bipbipbopCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 2332-1309 (3641) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 35% 14652-26739 (41391) |
 2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3777-16967 (20744) |
LinaBell🦊CTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$46.09
Record
19%
526-2273 (2799)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20566-13016 (33582)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
251-576 (827)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
303-656 (959)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
28%
159-410 (569)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
306-649 (955)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
31%
280-619 (899)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6266-5497 (11763)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12943-9852 (22795)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
2332-1309 (3641)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
14652-26739 (41391)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3777-16967 (20744)
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