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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 5.5

Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Under 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$576.73

Combined PnL

$2.8K

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,740

Combined PnL+$2.6K

Over4 traders

Total Value$63.18

Total Shares63

Combined PnL+$145.92

Under — 60%Over — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBluesCTR	Underavg 89.3¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K	58% 52330-38533 (90863)
RN1CTR	Underavg 64.1¢	$1.7K	—	+$2.0K	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
FE ferrariChampions2026ARB<$100	Underavg 89.1¢	$283.61	$513.55	+$229.94	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
└ Under leg	Underavg 89.1¢	$237.34	—	-$237.34
└ Over leg	Overavg 9¢	$46.27	$513.55	+$467.29
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 81.5¢	$2.8K	—	+$1.6K	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
PA Pan9X<$100	Overavg 21.9¢	$57.72	$63.18	+$145.92	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
38 38791873984189CTR	Underavg 77.4¢	$349.02	—	+$194.77	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100	Underavg 92¢	—	—	+$0	50% 29172-29037 (58209)
LU LuckyLoo<$100	Overavg 7.8¢	—	—	+$0	49% 15008-15929 (30937)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Underavg 89.9¢	—	—	+$0	51% 38648-37820 (76468)
US User7429<$100	Overavg 45.6¢	—	—	+$0	56% 9429-7491 (16920)
WA WagerWizard<$100	Overavg 96.5¢	—	—	+$0	84% 15082-2932 (18014)

Invested

$1,180.75

Value

—

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

58%

52330-38533 (90863)

Invested

$1,650.61

Value

—

PnL

+$2.0K

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

ferrariChampions2026ARB<$100

Invested

$283.61

Value

$513.55

PnL

+$229.94

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

Both legs:

Under$237.3489.1¢-$237.34

Over$46.279¢+$467.29

Invested

$2,807.05

Value

—

PnL

+$1.6K

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

Invested

$57.72

Value

$63.18

PnL

+$145.92

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$349.02

Value

—

PnL

+$194.77

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

GoalLineGhostCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

29172-29037 (58209)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

15008-15929 (30937)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

38648-37820 (76468)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

9429-7491 (16920)

WagerWizard<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

84%

15082-2932 (18014)

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x922e51c2...e3afaf

Slug

elc-whu-wre-2026-09-11-total-5pt5

Traders in this Market

UpTheBlues

Under — $0

RN1

Under — $0

ferrariChampions2026

Arbitrage — excluded

Flaznorp

Under — $0

Pan9X

Over — $63.18

38791873984189

Under — $0

GoalLineGhost

Under — $0

LuckyLoo

Over — $0

SnakeBall

Under — $0

User7429

Over — $0

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