Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was No β but Yes won instead.

Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved Yes. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
13
No 69%
$1.5K
-$607.02
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 26.8Β’ | $464.96 | $1.4K | +$981.2 | 53% 2166-1916 (4082) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 69.5Β’ | $1.3K | β | $-1.3K | 49% 3969-4117 (8086) |
LU LuckyLooCTR | Noavg 51Β’ | $216.58 | β | -$216.58 | 36% 481-851 (1332) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Yesavg 78Β’ | $14.72 | $18.41 | +$3.69 | 49% 1173-1237 (2410) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 49Β’ | $8.71 | $15.69 | +$6.98 | 54% 1422-1229 (2651) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Yesavg 55Β’ | $5.5 | $10 | +$4.5 | 41% 147-210 (357) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 62.6Β’ | $43.28 | β | -$43.28 | 37% 996-1715 (2711) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 38.1Β’ | $18.18 | β | -$18.18 | 36% 979-1704 (2683) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Noavg 11.7Β’ | $3.28 | β | -$3.28 | 45% 679-837 (1516) |
![]() dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 8Β’ | $1.82 | β | -$1.82 | 47% 993-1122 (2115) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Noavg 73.7Β’ | $13.65 | β | -$13.65 | 48% 2164-2307 (4471) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 75Β’ | $10.25 | β | -$10.25 | 38% 1015-1688 (2703) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Noavg 59Β’ | $4.31 | β | -$4.31 | 37% 1003-1721 (2724) |
Invested
$464.96
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$981.2
Record
53%
2166-1916 (4082)
Invested
$1,292.04
Value
β
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
49%
3969-4117 (8086)
Invested
$216.58
Value
β
PnL
-$216.58
Record
36%
481-851 (1332)
poshposh<$100Invested
$14.72
Value
$18.41
PnL
+$3.69
Record
49%
1173-1237 (2410)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$8.71
Value
$15.69
PnL
+$6.98
Record
54%
1422-1229 (2651)
Invested
$5.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.5
Record
41%
147-210 (357)
Invested
$43.28
Value
β
PnL
-$43.28
Record
37%
996-1715 (2711)
Invested
$18.18
Value
β
PnL
-$18.18
Record
36%
979-1704 (2683)
Invested
$3.28
Value
β
PnL
-$3.28
Record
45%
679-837 (1516)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$1.82
Value
β
PnL
-$1.82
Record
47%
993-1122 (2115)
Invested
$13.65
Value
β
PnL
-$13.65
Record
48%
2164-2307 (4471)
Invested
$10.25
Value
β
PnL
-$10.25
Record
38%
1015-1688 (2703)
Invested
$4.31
Value
β
PnL
-$4.31
Record
37%
1003-1721 (2724)