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YesYesYesNoNoNo
poshposhCTR<$100NoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Crewe Alexandra FC vs. Newport County AFC end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 57%
Total Value
$939.16
Combined PnL
$714.53
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$939.16
Total Shares939
Combined PnL+$771.53
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares76
Combined PnL-$57
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 11.7¢ | $158.12 | $834.05 | +$675.93 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Yesavg 8.9¢ | $6.25 | $70 | +$63.75 | 36% 477-850 (1327) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $3.15 | $35 | +$31.85 | 42% 1030-1415 (2445) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 90.2¢ | $45.09 | — | -$45.09 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100 | Noavg 18¢ | $1.89 | — | -$1.89 | 34% 377-716 (1093) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | $9.1 | — | -$9.1 | 39% 3675-5843 (9518) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 17.8¢ | $0.92 | — | -$0.92 | 49% 1169-1236 (2405) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $0.01 | $0.11 | +$0 | 48% 2157-2304 (4461) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$158.12
Value
$834.05
PnL
+$675.93
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
$6.25
Value
$70
PnL
+$63.75
Record
36%
477-850 (1327)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
$35
PnL
+$31.85
Record
42%
1030-1415 (2445)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$45.09
Value
—
PnL
-$45.09
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
SL
SlickRick123CTR<$100Invested
$1.89
Value
—
PnL
-$1.89
Record
34%
377-716 (1093)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$9.1
Value
—
PnL
-$9.1
Record
39%
3675-5843 (9518)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$0.92
Value
—
PnL
-$0.92
Record
49%
1169-1236 (2405)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
$0.11
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
2157-2304 (4461)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xca10c0d1...023e47
Slug
el2-cre-new-2026-11-14-draw