Dota 2: Power Rangers vs angry birds - Game 2 Winner

8 of 18 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (44%) · Power Rangers at 67¢ · $38K held · ends Nov 11

Power Rangers67¢angry birds33¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Power Rangers

Consensus Traders

Power Rangers 44%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$38.4K

Combined PnL

$8.2K

Smart Money Entry

41.4¢ → 66.5¢

+61% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 67%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

8 of 18 top traders (44%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Power Rangers67%

angry birds34%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Power Rangers8 traders

Total Value$30.4K

Total Shares41,591

Combined PnL+$13.1K

angry birds10 traders

Total Value$6.0K

Total Shares19,044

Combined PnL$-4.9K

Power Rangers — 44%angry birds — 56%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 63%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

45% of non-arb traders are on Power Rangers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 63% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpangry birds 100% · 2

Diverging

ctrangry birds 56% · 9

Diverging

Hand-pickedangry birds 67% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000angry birds 53% · 19

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GE GeorgeRe	Power Rangersavg 40.5¢	$7.9K	$14.6K	+$6.7K	52% 701-635 (1336)
Medo3D	Power Rangersavg 45.1¢	$3.2K	$5.3K	+$2.1K	8% 21-231 (252)
SI Sisyphus-	Power Rangersavg 39.6¢	$2.1K	$3.9K	+$1.8K	57% 522-399 (921)
RA RandomVibecoder	Power Rangersavg 43.8¢	$2.4K	$3.7K	+$1.3K	48% 500-546 (1046)
PL plustiCTR	angry birdsavg 55¢	$4.4K	$3.2K	$-1.2K	27% 15-41 (56)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR	angry birdsavg 59.4¢	$4.0K	$1.7K	$-2.3K	46% 438-504 (942)
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341	Power Rangersavg 37¢	$841.38	$1.4K	+$523.02	12% 25-190 (215)
DO DotaBotReborn	Power Rangersavg 40.8¢	$523.53	$956.72	+$433.19	63% 29-17 (46)
A3 a37932699ARB<$100	angry birdsavg 52.7¢	$969.27	$812.4	-$156.86	2% 4-182 (186)
└ angry birds leg	angry birdsavg 52.7¢	$738	$560	-$178
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 55¢	$231.27	$252.41	+$21.14
Tolkonevminus2CTR	angry birdsavg 59.9¢	$1.4K	$575.8	-$777.22	39% 38-60 (98)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	angry birdsavg 53.8¢	$753.45	$566.98	-$186.46	53% 1818-1628 (3446)
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 54¢	$234.82	$326.18	+$91.36
└ angry birds leg	angry birdsavg 53.8¢	$518.63	$240.81	-$277.82
PA pauleta23ARB<$100	Power Rangersavg 44.7¢	$421.6	$531.92	+$110.32	31% 210-476 (686)
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 44.7¢	$299.1	$401.92	+$102.82
└ angry birds leg	angry birdsavg 37.7¢	$122.5	$130	+$7.5
PO PourpelNourpel	Power Rangersavg 40¢	$303.43	$455.15	+$151.72	53% 40-36 (76)
0X 0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266CTR	angry birdsavg 61.2¢	$648.8	$270.18	-$378.62	8% 6-66 (72)
BI BillBenter2026CTR	angry birdsavg 58.5¢	$502.56	$218.89	-$283.66	23% 143-492 (635)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG	Power Rangersavg 49.5¢	$99.99	$150.58	+$50.59	22% 116-414 (530)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	angry birdsavg 37.9¢	$32.91	$34.73	+$1.82	45% 233-284 (517)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	angry birdsavg 49¢	$12.25	$10	-$2.25	52% 463-433 (896)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	angry birdsavg 50¢	$5	$4	-$1	41% 3141-4503 (7644)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	angry birdsavg 50¢	$2.5	$2	-$0.5	32% 295-621 (916)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100	angry birdsavg 48¢	$2.4	$2	-$0.4	44% 117-150 (267)

GeorgeRe

Power Rangers

Invested

$7,934.88

Value

$14.6K

PnL

+$6.7K

Record

52%

701-635 (1336)

Medo3D

Power Rangers

Invested

$3,197.15

Value

$5.3K

PnL

+$2.1K

Record

21-231 (252)

Sisyphus-

Power Rangers

Invested

$2,088.71

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$1.8K

Record

57%

522-399 (921)

RandomVibecoder

Power Rangers

Invested

$2,355.41

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

48%

500-546 (1046)

plustiCTR

angry birds

Invested

$4,399.99

Value

$3.2K

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

27%

15-41 (56)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR

angry birds

Invested

$4,000

Value

$1.7K

PnL

$-2.3K

Record

46%

438-504 (942)

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341

Power Rangers

Invested

$841.38

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$523.02

Record

12%

25-190 (215)

DotaBotReborn

Power Rangers

Invested

$523.53

Value

$956.72

PnL

+$433.19

Record

63%

29-17 (46)

a37932699ARB<$100

angry birds

Invested

$969.27

Value

$812.4

PnL

-$156.86

Record

4-182 (186)

Both legs:

angry birds$73852.7¢-$178

Power Rangers$231.2755¢+$21.14

Tolkonevminus2CTR

angry birds

Invested

$1,353.01

Value

$575.8

PnL

-$777.22

Record

39%

38-60 (98)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

angry birds

Invested

$753.45

Value

$566.98

PnL

-$186.46

Record

53%

1818-1628 (3446)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$234.8254¢+$91.36

angry birds$518.6353.8¢-$277.82

pauleta23ARB<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$421.6

Value

$531.92

PnL

+$110.32

Record

31%

210-476 (686)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$299.144.7¢+$102.82

angry birds$122.537.7¢+$7.5

PourpelNourpel

Power Rangers

Invested

$303.43

Value

$455.15

PnL

+$151.72

Record

53%

40-36 (76)

0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266CTR

angry birds

Invested

$648.8

Value

$270.18

PnL

-$378.62

Record

6-66 (72)

BillBenter2026CTR

angry birds

Invested

$502.56

Value

$218.89

PnL

-$283.66

Record

23%

143-492 (635)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG

Power Rangers

Invested

$99.99

Value

$150.58

PnL

+$50.59

Record

22%

116-414 (530)

lryyyCTR<$100

angry birds

Invested

$32.91

Value

$34.73

PnL

+$1.82

Record

45%

233-284 (517)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

angry birds

Invested

$12.25

Value

$10

PnL

-$2.25

Record

52%

463-433 (896)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

angry birds

Invested

Value

PnL

-$1

Record

41%

3141-4503 (7644)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

angry birds

Invested

$2.5

Value

PnL

-$0.5

Record

32%

295-621 (916)

alpheclabs2CTR<$100

angry birds

Invested

$2.4

Value

PnL

-$0.4

Record

44%

117-150 (267)

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 67%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

8 of 18 top traders (44%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 63%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

45% of non-arb traders are on Power Rangers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 63% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpangry birds 100% · 2

Diverging

ctrangry birds 56% · 9

Diverging

Hand-pickedangry birds 67% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000angry birds 53% · 19

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Power Rangers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance68.6%

66.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$45.78

Max Loss

-$100.00

145.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.