Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Zenith - Game 2 Winner

6 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Nemiga Gaming (55%) · Nemiga Gaming at 100¢ · $11K held · ends Nov 9

Nemiga Gaming>99¢Zenith<1¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Nemiga Gaming

Consensus Traders

Nemiga Gaming 55%

Total Value

$10.6K

Combined PnL

$941.64

Smart Money Entry

77.4¢ → 100¢

+29% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralNemiga Gaming at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Nemiga Gaming

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Nemiga Gaming100%

Zenith0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Nemiga Gaming6 traders

Total Value$8.1K

Total Shares10,680

Combined PnL+$295.9

Zenith5 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares9,912

Combined PnL+$645.74

Nemiga Gaming — 55%Zenith — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CO ColdBlooded	Nemiga Gamingavg 80.6¢	$5.9K	$5.3K	-$590.63	73% 176-66 (242)
Medo3DCTR	Zenithavg 22.5¢	$1.9K	$2.3K	+$410.65	41% 201-293 (494)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Nemiga Gamingavg 70.6¢	$1.4K	$1.5K	+$39.37	59% 1040-730 (1770)
PA pauleta23	Nemiga Gamingavg 63.3¢	$400	$631.52	+$231.52	65% 25764-13858 (39622)
BA BackTestEoCaraio	Nemiga Gaming	$559.57	$559.57	+$559.57	61% 661-425 (1086)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG	Nemiga Gamingavg 64.5¢	$101.8	$157.85	+$56.05	59% 7406-5123 (12529)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR	Zenithavg 29.4¢	$317.25	$119.81	-$197.44	53% 15728-13882 (29610)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Zenithavg 0¢	$0	$87.04	+$87.04	48% 40324-43279 (83603)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Nemiga Gamingavg 99.9¢	$52.29	$52.31	+$0.03	32% 21959-45848 (67807)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Zenithavg 0¢	$0	$5.3	+$5.3	48% 72230-77977 (150207)
XU xuxuntaoCTR	Zenithavg 26.1¢	$2.4K	$0.38	+$340.18	61% 140-90 (230)

ColdBlooded

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$5,850.75

Value

$5.3K

PnL

-$590.63

Record

73%

176-66 (242)

Medo3DCTR

Zenith

Invested

$1,853.48

Value

$2.3K

PnL

+$410.65

Record

41%

201-293 (494)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$1,426.8

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$39.37

Record

59%

1040-730 (1770)

pauleta23

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$400

Value

$631.52

PnL

+$231.52

Record

65%

25764-13858 (39622)

BackTestEoCaraio

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$559.57

Value

$559.57

PnL

+$559.57

Record

61%

661-425 (1086)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$101.8

Value

$157.85

PnL

+$56.05

Record

59%

7406-5123 (12529)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR

Zenith

Invested

$317.25

Value

$119.81

PnL

-$197.44

Record

53%

15728-13882 (29610)

lryyyCTR<$100

Zenith

Invested

Value

$87.04

PnL

+$87.04

Record

48%

40324-43279 (83603)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$52.29

Value

$52.31

PnL

+$0.03

Record

32%

21959-45848 (67807)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Zenith

Invested

Value

$5.3

PnL

+$5.3

Record

48%

72230-77977 (150207)

xuxuntaoCTR

Zenith

Invested

$2,377.16

Value

$0.38

PnL

+$340.18

Record

61%

140-90 (230)

Research grade

NeutralNemiga Gaming at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Nemiga Gaming

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Nemiga Gaming wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.