Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was HULIGANI — and it was correct. Winning outcome: HULIGANI

Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner

Resolved HULIGANI. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held HULIGANI. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

HULIGANI 41%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$100.5K

Combined PnL

$9.1K

Smart Money Signal

HULIGANI

12 of 23 top traders (52%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

HULIGANI100%

LEGION0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

HULIGANI12 traders

Total Value$89.2K

Total Shares89,187

Combined PnL+$22.1K

LEGION11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares48,842

Combined PnL$-13.0K

HULIGANI — 52%LEGION — 48%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
YA yadens	HULIGANIavg 95.4¢	$23.7K	$24.8K	+$1.1K	71% 189-76 (265)
PV pvc975	HULIGANIavg 99.9¢	$37.5K	$37.6K	+$41.2	98% 18151-375 (18526)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	HULIGANIavg 54.4¢	$15.7K	$15.7K	+$7.2K	58% 955-684 (1639)
RA RandomVibecoderARB<$100	LEGIONavg 34.3¢	$6.4K	$5.2K	$-1.2K	48% 855-909 (1764)
└ HULIGANI leg	HULIGANIavg 50.7¢	$2.7K	$5.2K	+$2.6K
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 34.3¢	$3.8K	—	$-3.8K
GE GeorgeRe	HULIGANIavg 56.8¢	$4.1K	$7.2K	+$3.1K	54% 1138-979 (2117)
Sunshine.SmileCTR	LEGIONavg 45.2¢	$10.2K	—	$-10.2K	58% 1973-1446 (3419)
MA madar78CTR	LEGIONavg 4.2¢	$2.4K	—	-$948.33	67% 70-35 (105)
Medo3DARB<$100	LEGIONavg 16.5¢	$3.2K	$1.8K	$-1.4K	41% 182-264 (446)
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 16.5¢	$2.2K	—	$-2.2K
└ HULIGANI leg	HULIGANIavg 55.8¢	$1.0K	$1.8K	+$792.16
GO GooGooGaga1	HULIGANIavg 75.1¢	$6.9K	$3.6K	+$1.7K	77% 68-20 (88)
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341ARB<$100	HULIGANIavg 80.8¢	$3.4K	$2.5K	-$900.53	50% 564-572 (1136)
└ HULIGANI leg	HULIGANIavg 80.8¢	$2.0K	$2.5K	+$480.1
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 34.6¢	$1.4K	—	$-1.4K
SkritopoolniyARB<$100	LEGIONavg 16.7¢	$2.0K	$1.2K	-$755.38	47% 637-731 (1368)
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 16.7¢	$1.4K	—	$-1.4K
└ HULIGANI leg	HULIGANIavg 48.8¢	$587.78	$1.2K	+$616.78
PO PourpelNourpelARB<$100	LEGIONavg 37.2¢	$600.97	$586.26	-$14.72	53% 667-598 (1265)
└ HULIGANI leg	HULIGANIavg 51.3¢	$300.49	$586.26	+$285.77
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 37.2¢	$300.49	—	-$300.49
GX gxxyyCTR	LEGIONavg 48.5¢	$2.0K	—	-$970.17	69% 521-229 (750)
CR Crazyboy77CTR	LEGIONavg 34.4¢	$1.7K	—	-$568.3	53% 206-183 (389)
Hawk.liveCTR	LEGIONavg 42.3¢	$1.5K	—	-$634.99	56% 695-537 (1232)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG	HULIGANIavg 90.1¢	$150.77	$167.32	+$16.54	59% 6849-4851 (11700)
TR Trungl	HULIGANIavg 60.1¢	$773.84	$119.81	+$478.47	61% 410-265 (675)
SI Sisyphus-CTR	LEGIONavg 44.2¢	$205.7	—	-$205.7	55% 787-646 (1433)
PA panpidaras1CTR	LEGIONavg 48.2¢	$881.04	—	+$554.44	48% 292-320 (612)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	LEGIONavg 36.8¢	$435.14	—	-$34.46	42% 8168-11360 (19528)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	LEGIONavg 46¢	$4.12	—	-$4.12	50% 26409-26025 (52434)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	LEGIONavg 48¢	$2.4	—	-$2.4	52% 9018-8169 (17187)
0X 0xNuttawut	HULIGANIavg 50.2¢	$2.3K	$0.01	+$2.3K	51% 1236-1201 (2437)
Tolkonevminus2	HULIGANIavg 61.6¢	$7.2K	$0	+$4.4K	63% 107-62 (169)
maytopmayCTR<$100	LEGIONavg 49.7¢	$43.79	—	+$0.44	61% 311-201 (512)

yadens

HULIGANI

Invested

$23,669.84

Value

$24.8K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

71%

189-76 (265)

pvc975

HULIGANI

Invested

$37,512.03

Value

$37.6K

PnL

+$41.2

Record

98%

18151-375 (18526)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

HULIGANI

Invested

$15,704.17

Value

$15.7K

PnL

+$7.2K

Record

58%

955-684 (1639)

RandomVibecoderARB<$100

LEGION

Invested

$6,445.49

Value

$5.2K

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

48%

855-909 (1764)

Both legs:

HULIGANI$2,656.0250.7¢+$2.6K

LEGION$3,789.4734.3¢$-3.8K

GeorgeRe

HULIGANI

Invested

$4,088.28

Value

$7.2K

PnL

+$3.1K

Record

54%

1138-979 (2117)

Sunshine.SmileCTR

LEGION

Invested

$10,153.53

Value

—

PnL

$-10.2K

Record

58%

1973-1446 (3419)

madar78CTR

LEGION

Invested

$2,409.13

Value

—

PnL

-$948.33

Record

67%

70-35 (105)

Medo3DARB<$100

LEGION

Invested

$3,184.1

Value

$1.8K

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

41%

182-264 (446)

Both legs:

LEGION$2,183.4416.5¢$-2.2K

HULIGANI$1,000.6755.8¢+$792.16

GooGooGaga1

HULIGANI

Invested

$6,904.98

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$1.7K

Record

77%

68-20 (88)

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341ARB<$100

HULIGANI

Invested

$3,400.53

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$900.53

Record

50%

564-572 (1136)

Both legs:

HULIGANI$2,019.980.8¢+$480.1

LEGION$1,380.6334.6¢$-1.4K

SkritopoolniyARB<$100

LEGION

Invested

$1,959.94

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$755.38

Record

47%

637-731 (1368)

Both legs:

LEGION$1,372.1616.7¢$-1.4K

HULIGANI$587.7848.8¢+$616.78

PourpelNourpelARB<$100

LEGION

Invested

$600.97

Value

$586.26

PnL

-$14.72

Record

53%

667-598 (1265)

Both legs:

HULIGANI$300.4951.3¢+$285.77

LEGION$300.4937.2¢-$300.49

gxxyyCTR

LEGION

Invested

$2,000

Value

—

PnL

-$970.17

Record

69%

521-229 (750)

Crazyboy77CTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,650.74

Value

—

PnL

-$568.3

Record

53%

206-183 (389)

Hawk.liveCTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,499.98

Value

—

PnL

-$634.99

Record

56%

695-537 (1232)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG

HULIGANI

Invested

$150.77

Value

$167.32

PnL

+$16.54

Record

59%

6849-4851 (11700)

Trungl

HULIGANI

Invested

$773.84

Value

$119.81

PnL

+$478.47

Record

61%

410-265 (675)

Sisyphus-CTR

LEGION

Invested

$205.7

Value

—

PnL

-$205.7

Record

55%

787-646 (1433)

panpidaras1CTR

LEGION

Invested

$881.04

Value

—

PnL

+$554.44

Record

48%

292-320 (612)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

LEGION

Invested

$435.14

Value

—

PnL

-$34.46

Record

42%

8168-11360 (19528)

sentrioCTR<$100

LEGION

Invested

$4.12

Value

—

PnL

-$4.12

Record

50%

26409-26025 (52434)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

LEGION

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

52%

9018-8169 (17187)

0xNuttawut

HULIGANI

Invested

$2,272.95

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$2.3K

Record

51%

1236-1201 (2437)

Tolkonevminus2

HULIGANI

Invested

$7,154.37

Value

PnL

+$4.4K

Record

63%

107-62 (169)

maytopmayCTR<$100

LEGION

Invested

$43.79

Value

—

PnL

+$0.44

Record

61%

311-201 (512)

Smart Money Signal

HULIGANI

12 of 23 top traders (52%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4c897dcc...ac5933

Slug

dota2-huliga-legion1-2026-11-07-game2

Traders in this Market

yadens

HULIGANI — $24.8K

+$1.1K

pvc975

HULIGANI — $37.6K

+$41.2

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

HULIGANI — $15.7K

+$7.2K

RandomVibecoder

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

$-1.2K

GeorgeRe

HULIGANI — $7.2K

Sunshine.Smile

LEGION — $0

madar78

LEGION — $0

Medo3D

Arbitrage — excluded

GooGooGaga1

HULIGANI — $3.6K

+$1.7K

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$900.53

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