Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-08?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Yes 69%
$2.9K
-$913.65
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 78.8¢ | $2.3K | $2.2K | +$442.49 | 51% 46870-44196 (91066) |
VE Venusian | Yesavg 78¢ | $342.76 | $342.76 | +$75.41 | 48% 2079-2257 (4336) |
 RN1 | Yesavg 57¢ | $192.82 | $180 | +$71.48 | 53% 70164-61737 (131901) |
LI LimousinCTR | Noavg 48¢ | $480.29 | — | -$280.23 | 49% 2102-2190 (4292) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Yesavg 96¢ | $49.99 | $49.99 | +$2 | 71% 18400-7571 (25971) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Yesavg 95¢ | $20 | $20 | +$1 | 75% 2050-688 (2738) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Yesavg 58¢ | $19.13 | $19.13 | +$8.03 | 51% 27916-27361 (55277) |
NM NM-P<$100 | Yesavg 57¢ | $11.47 | $15 | +$3.53 | 57% 22329-16593 (38922) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Yesavg 80¢ | $11 | $13.75 | +$2.75 | 50% 23433-23429 (46862) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Noavg 21.2¢ | $385.26 | — | -$31.44 | 52% 27099-24604 (51703) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Yesavg 77¢ | $68.96 | $5.96 | +$1.37 | 48% 70219-75923 (146142) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Noavg 47¢ | $97.88 | — | -$97.88 | 48% 2039-2213 (4252) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Noavg 41¢ | $2.7K | — | $-1.1K | 48% 2032-2230 (4262) |
FI FinalOrder<$100 | Yesavg 52.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 238-277 (515) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 193-149 (342) |
Invested
$2,280.76
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$442.49
Record
51%
46870-44196 (91066)
Invested
$342.76
Value
$342.76
PnL
+$75.41
Record
48%
2079-2257 (4336)
RN1Invested
$192.82
Value
$180
PnL
+$71.48
Record
53%
70164-61737 (131901)
Invested
$480.29
Value
—
PnL
-$280.23
Record
49%
2102-2190 (4292)
Invested
$49.99
Value
$49.99
PnL
+$2
Record
71%
18400-7571 (25971)
Invested
$20
Value
$20
PnL
+$1
Record
75%
2050-688 (2738)
Invested
$19.13
Value
$19.13
PnL
+$8.03
Record
51%
27916-27361 (55277)
Invested
$11.47
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.53
Record
57%
22329-16593 (38922)
Invested
$11
Value
$13.75
PnL
+$2.75
Record
50%
23433-23429 (46862)
Invested
$385.26
Value
—
PnL
-$31.44
Record
52%
27099-24604 (51703)
Invested
$68.96
Value
$5.96
PnL
+$1.37
Record
48%
70219-75923 (146142)
Invested
$97.88
Value
—
PnL
-$97.88
Record
48%
2039-2213 (4252)
Invested
$2,711.17
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
48%
2032-2230 (4262)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
238-277 (515)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
193-149 (342)