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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was LAG Gaming — but Detonate won instead.

Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Detonate - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Detonate. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held LAG Gaming. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

LAG Gaming 25%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$-3.4K

Smart Money Signal

LAG Gaming

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

LAG Gaming0%
Detonate100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Detonate7 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,471
Combined PnL+$534.51
LAG Gaming3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6,630
Combined PnL$-4.0K
Detonate — 70%LAG Gaming — 30%
31
319113331313111
Detonate

Invested

$1,373.1

Value

$394.43

PnL

+$30.25

Record

55%

211-171 (382)

poshposh
Detonate

Invested

$234.64

Value

$310.11

PnL

+$75.46

Record

49%

1349-1428 (2777)

TO
topdogbigboi
Detonate

Invested

$114.66

Value

$265.55

PnL

+$150.89

Record

39%

1595-2514 (4109)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
Detonate

Invested

$1,012.76

Value

$237.88

PnL

+$125.11

Record

62%

207-129 (336)

38
38791873984189
Detonate

Invested

$43.31

Value

$151.24

PnL

+$126.63

Record

48%

3997-4384 (8381)

JA
JabJabichCTR
LAG Gaming

Invested

$3,975.07

Value

—

PnL

$-4.0K

Record

36%

50-89 (139)

Future-Tarot-Trader
Detonate

Invested

$169.66

Value

$111.51

PnL

+$22.83

Record

55%

167-136 (303)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
LAG Gaming

Invested

$9.1

Value

—

PnL

-$9.1

Record

38%

3843-6310 (10153)

NO
NotJumpCTR
LAG Gaming

Invested

$262.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

50%

1156-1164 (2320)

ARTEM-DZYUBA
Detonate

Invested

$366.46

Value

—

PnL

+$3.33

Record

83%

991-206 (1197)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x6d518dfb...680d37
Slug
cs2-lag-dtn1-2026-11-15-game1

Traders in this Market

31

319113331313111

Detonate — $394.43

+$30.25

poshposh

Detonate — $310.11

+$75.46
TO

topdogbigboi

Detonate — $265.55

+$150.89

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Detonate — $237.88

+$125.11
38

38791873984189

Detonate — $151.24

+$126.63
JA

JabJabich

CTR

LAG Gaming — $0

$-4.0K

Future-Tarot-Trader

Detonate — $111.51

+$22.83
XT

xtxpleasecallme

CTR

LAG Gaming — $0

-$9.1
NO

NotJump

CTR

LAG Gaming — $0

-$0.05

ARTEM-DZYUBA

Detonate — $0

+$3.33
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