Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Butterfly — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Butterfly
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Butterfly. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Butterfly. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Butterfly 27%
2 arb excluded
$15.5K
$-4.4K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VP Vps1 | Butterflyavg 99.9¢ | $11.1K | $11.1K | +$11.07 | 96% 415-19 (434) |
AO aomendushen008ARB<$100 | Butterflyavg 55.2¢ | $2.7K | $3.2K | +$453.72 | 50% 960-957 (1917) |
| └ megoshort leg | megoshortavg 25.3¢ | $980.99 | — | -$980.99 | |
| └ Butterfly leg | Butterflyavg 55.2¢ | $1.8K | $3.2K | +$1.4K | |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | megoshortavg 48.5¢ | $2.2K | — | $-2.2K | 50% 21182-21443 (42625) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | megoshortavg 34.6¢ | $867.6 | — | -$867.6 | 47% 11713-13434 (25147) |
 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | Butterflyavg 57.5¢ | $752.69 | $706.66 | -$46.03 | 53% 2807-2450 (5257) |
SW swiftFoxxCTR | megoshortavg 59.2¢ | $437.21 | — | -$437.21 | 69% 63-28 (91) |
 alpheclabs2ARB<$100 | megoshortavg 42.3¢ | $295.86 | $476 | +$179.75 | 47% 1228-1407 (2635) |
| └ megoshort leg | megoshortavg 42.3¢ | $167.7 | — | -$165.71 | |
| └ Butterfly leg | Butterflyavg 26.9¢ | $128.16 | $476 | +$345.46 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | megoshortavg 49.3¢ | $395.26 | — | -$333.81 | 48% 61189-65989 (127178) |
 Future-Tarot-Trader | Butterflyavg 58.7¢ | $735.37 | $60.51 | -$59.21 | 64% 1260-699 (1959) |
0X 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70CTR<$100 | megoshortavg 50¢ | $50 | — | -$50 | 74% 111-38 (149) |
SL SlickRick123CTR | megoshortavg 52.5¢ | $800.6 | — | -$607.6 | 48% 5439-5951 (11390) |
JA JabJabichCTR | megoshortavg 35.4¢ | $3.2K | — | +$322.97 | 60% 190-125 (315) |
SH shiifooCTR | megoshortavg 49.9¢ | $233.12 | — | -$155.35 | 47% 4061-4609 (8670) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA | Butterflyavg 99¢ | $495.25 | — | +$4.23 | 82% 7330-1615 (8945) |
0X 0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250 | Butterflyavg 95.4¢ | $1.0K | — | +$47.63 | 97% 3765-135 (3900) |
Invested
$11,054.64
Value
$11.1K
PnL
+$11.07
Record
96%
415-19 (434)
Invested
$2,746.26
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$453.72
Record
50%
960-957 (1917)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,191.18
Value
—
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
50%
21182-21443 (42625)
Invested
$867.6
Value
—
PnL
-$867.6
Record
47%
11713-13434 (25147)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$752.69
Value
$706.66
PnL
-$46.03
Record
53%
2807-2450 (5257)
Invested
$437.21
Value
—
PnL
-$437.21
Record
69%
63-28 (91)
alpheclabs2ARB<$100Invested
$295.86
Value
$476
PnL
+$179.75
Record
47%
1228-1407 (2635)
Both legs:
Invested
$395.26
Value
—
PnL
-$333.81
Record
48%
61189-65989 (127178)
Future-Tarot-TraderInvested
$735.37
Value
$60.51
PnL
-$59.21
Record
64%
1260-699 (1959)
Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
-$50
Record
74%
111-38 (149)
Invested
$800.6
Value
—
PnL
-$607.6
Record
48%
5439-5951 (11390)
Invested
$3,195.61
Value
—
PnL
+$322.97
Record
60%
190-125 (315)
Invested
$233.12
Value
—
PnL
-$155.35
Record
47%
4061-4609 (8670)
ARTEM-DZYUBAInvested
$495.25
Value
—
PnL
+$4.23
Record
82%
7330-1615 (8945)
Invested
$1,008.26
Value
—
PnL
+$47.63
Record
97%
3765-135 (3900)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Vps1
Butterfly — $11.1K
aomendushen008
ARBArbitrage — excluded
omnibus-076daa
CTRmegoshort — $0
topdogbigboi
CTRmegoshort — $0
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
Butterfly — $706.66
swiftFoxx
CTRmegoshort — $0
alpheclabs2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
CTRmegoshort — $0
Future-Tarot-Trader
Butterfly — $60.51
0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70
CTRmegoshort — $0