Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Saint-Martin vs. El Salvador: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Under 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$285.35

Under

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over0%

Under100%

Under6 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,233

Combined PnL+$464.35

Over6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,859

Combined PnL-$749.69

Under — 50%Over — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Underavg 60¢	$680.97	$1.1K	+$450.65	37% 497-832 (1329)
JA JabJabichCTR	Overavg 40¢	$600	—	-$600	28% 23-60 (83)
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100	Underavg 88.8¢	$131.38	$78.25	-$53.13	37% 819-1385 (2204)
└ Under leg	Underavg 88.8¢	$69.5	$78.25	+$8.75
└ Over leg	Overavg 30¢	$61.88	—	-$61.88
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Overavg 41.1¢	$86.51	—	-$86.51	50% 3526-3585 (7111)
poshposh<$100	Underavg 82.3¢	$44.44	$39.88	-$4.56	48% 1014-1100 (2114)
LO lonmi2511<$100	Underavg 55¢	$24.43	$44.42	+$19.99	60% 702-476 (1178)
dips.CTR<$100	Overavg 27.8¢	$34.96	—	-$34.96	47% 860-963 (1823)
LR lryyy<$100	Underavg 80¢	$12.75	$11	-$1.75	45% 706-873 (1579)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Overavg 45¢	$19.99	—	-$19.99	46% 2333-2789 (5122)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Overavg 24¢	$6.13	—	-$6.13	53% 6885-6020 (12905)
SM smithagent<$100	Underavg 79¢	$47.25	$5.8	-$1.18	44% 599-749 (1348)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Overavg 42¢	$2.1	—	-$2.1	49% 1865-1975 (3840)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	Underavg 76¢	$3.8	—	+$1.2	82% 643-144 (787)