Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Mexico — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Mexico

Spread: Jamaica (-2.5)

Resolved Mexico. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Mexico. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Mexico 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.2K

Combined PnL

-$152.8

Mexico

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Jamaica0%

Mexico100%

Mexico6 traders

Total Value$2.8K

Total Shares2,782

Combined PnL-$83.35

Jamaica3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares139

Combined PnL-$69.45

Mexico — 67%Jamaica — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Mexicoavg 91.3¢	$2.3K	$2.2K	-$98.03	49% 4509-4779 (9288)
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100	Mexicoavg 93.4¢	$494.61	$413.76	-$80.85	52% 2433-2206 (4639)
└ Mexico leg	Mexicoavg 93.4¢	$386.46	$413.76	+$27.3
└ Jamaica leg	Jamaicaavg 5¢	$108.15	—	-$108.15
LO looppau	Mexicoavg 99.9¢	$494.89	$495.39	+$0.5	99% 794-2 (796)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Mexicoavg 91.5¢	$44.53	$39.05	+$3.02	48% 2431-2662 (5093)
WA WagerWizardCTR<$100	Jamaicaavg 52.8¢	$68.36	—	-$68.36	49% 222-228 (450)
LI Limousin<$100	Mexicoavg 46.4¢	$3.77	$8.13	+$4.36	38% 1261-2087 (3348)
alpheclabs2<$100	Mexicoavg 42¢	$2.98	$7.1	+$4.12	45% 356-434 (790)
MA MadridTime<$100	Mexicoavg 46.4¢	$2.33	$5.02	+$2.69	38% 1289-2093 (3382)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Jamaicaavg 12¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	37% 1279-2142 (3421)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Jamaicaavg 11¢	$0.07	—	-$0.07	46% 925-1106 (2031)