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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Real Cartagena FC vs. Deportes Quindio: O/U 2.5

Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Under 50%

Total Value

$765.13

Combined PnL

-$376.79

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders

Total Value$492.86

Total Shares1,188

Combined PnL-$418.22

Over4 traders

Total Value$272.27

Total Shares272

Combined PnL+$41.43

Under — 50%Over — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 42.2¢	$642.81	$355.39	-$287.41	51% 23811-22567 (46378)
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540	Overavg 57.3¢	$136.87	$151.63	+$14.76	82% 2571-571 (3142)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Underavg 52.4¢	$143.77	$135.81	-$7.97	50% 27494-27393 (54887)
PA pauleta23<$100	Overavg 68.1¢	$46.74	$68.63	+$21.89	66% 23901-12110 (36011)
WA WagerWizard<$100	Overavg 96.2¢	$36.07	$37.5	+$1.43	84% 14491-2789 (17280)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Overavg 76.9¢	$11.16	$14.51	+$3.35	50% 20420-20739 (41159)
VeryLucky888CTR	Underavg 58¢	$116.66	$1.67	-$115	58% 44906-32675 (77581)
RO Rocky31CTR<$100	Underavg 52.2¢	$7.84	—	-$7.84	75% 1832-627 (2459)

Invested

$642.81

Value

$355.39

PnL

-$287.41

Record

51%

23811-22567 (46378)

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Invested

$136.87

Value

$151.63

PnL

+$14.76

Record

82%

2571-571 (3142)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$143.77

Value

$135.81

PnL

-$7.97

Record

50%

27494-27393 (54887)

Invested

$46.74

Value

$68.63

PnL

+$21.89

Record

66%

23901-12110 (36011)

WagerWizard<$100

Invested

$36.07

Value

$37.5

PnL

+$1.43

Record

84%

14491-2789 (17280)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Invested

$11.16

Value

$14.51

PnL

+$3.35

Record

50%

20420-20739 (41159)

VeryLucky888CTR

Invested

$116.66

Value

$1.67

PnL

-$115

Record

58%

44906-32675 (77581)

Rocky31CTR<$100

Invested

$7.84

Value

—

PnL

-$7.84

Record

75%

1832-627 (2459)

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xefc5999e...1cb176

Slug

col2-car-qui-2026-11-03-total-2pt5

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Under — $355.39

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Over — $151.63

GoalLineGhost

Under — $135.81

pauleta23

Over — $68.63

WagerWizard

Over — $37.5

omnibus-076daa

Over — $14.51

VeryLucky888

Under — $1.67

Rocky31

Under — $0

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