Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Águilas Doradas Rionegro vs. Fortaleza FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 13% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Over 14%
$242.4
$129.93
Smart Money Signal
1 of 8 top traders (13%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadox | Underavg 51¢ | $70.89 | $139 | +$68.11 | 54% 629-546 (1175) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Underavg 45.6¢ | $26.84 | $58.91 | +$32.06 | 51% 21008-19991 (40999) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Underavg 43¢ | $10.54 | $24.48 | +$13.94 | 54% 626-537 (1163) |
MO mouzsynapse<$100 | Underavg 32¢ | $4.04 | $12.62 | +$8.58 | 40% 1094-1662 (2756) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 51¢ | $2.24 | $4.4 | +$2.16 | 48% 5733-6182 (11915) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 51¢ | $1.53 | $3 | +$1.47 | 52% 6768-6135 (12903) |
 RN1CTR | Overavg 19¢ | $302.1 | — | -$302.1 | 54% 58447-50668 (109115) |
DA dashattacker | Underavg 81¢ | $1.3K | — | +$305.71 | 72% 2743-1052 (3795) |
Invested
$70.89
Value
$139
PnL
+$68.11
Record
54%
629-546 (1175)
Invested
$26.84
Value
$58.91
PnL
+$32.06
Record
51%
21008-19991 (40999)
Invested
$10.54
Value
$24.48
PnL
+$13.94
Record
54%
626-537 (1163)
Invested
$4.04
Value
$12.62
PnL
+$8.58
Record
40%
1094-1662 (2756)
Invested
$2.24
Value
$4.4
PnL
+$2.16
Record
48%
5733-6182 (11915)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.53
Value
$3
PnL
+$1.47
Record
52%
6768-6135 (12903)
RN1CTRInvested
$302.1
Value
—
PnL
-$302.1
Record
54%
58447-50668 (109115)
Invested
$1,299.52
Value
—
PnL
+$305.71
Record
72%
2743-1052 (3795)