Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Atlético Nacional vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Yes 58%
1 arb excluded
$5.8K
$1.0K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 48.5¢ | $1.3K | $2.2K | +$880.88 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
MA MadridTime | Yesavg 49.6¢ | $504.26 | $1.0K | +$513.33 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
VE Venusian | Yesavg 52.4¢ | $425 | $811.7 | +$386.7 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
LI LightParadox | Yesavg 47.9¢ | $338.87 | $707.77 | +$368.9 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
LO looppau | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $508.92 | $509.43 | +$0.51 | 100% 721-0 (721) |
LI Limousin | Yesavg 41.1¢ | $148.36 | $361.26 | +$212.9 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
GC GC-PCTR | Noavg 27.9¢ | $168.83 | — | -$168.83 | 39% 419-652 (1071) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Noavg 32.5¢ | $239.15 | $98.32 | -$140.83 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 43¢ | $42.29 | $98.32 | +$56.03 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 32.5¢ | $196.87 | — | -$196.87 | |
TH thirdt1meCTR | Noavg 50¢ | $741.55 | — | -$741.55 | 48% 294-314 (608) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Yesavg 97.2¢ | $50 | $41.14 | -$8.86 | 41% 471-687 (1158) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Yesavg 99¢ | $36.63 | $37 | +$0.37 | 99% 518-7 (525) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 54.3¢ | $424.85 | — | -$424.85 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
 alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Noavg 15.6¢ | $87.19 | — | -$87.19 | 46% 316-377 (693) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Noavg 4.1¢ | $22.05 | — | -$22.05 | 45% 717-880 (1597) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Yesavg 65¢ | $6.5 | $10 | +$3.5 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
 Secondhandvinyl<$100 | Yesavg 82¢ | $8.01 | $9.77 | +$1.76 | 77% 294-89 (383) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 7.4¢ | $13.32 | — | -$10.76 | 47% 1041-1174 (2215) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | Noavg 2¢ | $2.24 | — | -$2.24 | 49% 300-314 (614) |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Yesavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 65% 646-351 (997) |
WA WagerWizardCTR<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $14.21 | — | -$14.21 | 44% 172-215 (387) |
UE uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9 | Yesavg 58¢ | $289.54 | $0.03 | +$5.92 | 61% 54-35 (89) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Noavg 4.6¢ | $9.05 | — | +$121.67 | 25% 1331-4013 (5344) |
Invested
$1,328.06
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$880.88
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Invested
$504.26
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$513.33
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$425
Value
$811.7
PnL
+$386.7
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
Invested
$338.87
Value
$707.77
PnL
+$368.9
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$508.92
Value
$509.43
PnL
+$0.51
Record
100%
721-0 (721)
Invested
$148.36
Value
$361.26
PnL
+$212.9
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$168.83
Value
—
PnL
-$168.83
Record
39%
419-652 (1071)
Invested
$239.15
Value
$98.32
PnL
-$140.83
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Both legs:
Invested
$741.55
Value
—
PnL
-$741.55
Record
48%
294-314 (608)
Invested
$50
Value
$41.14
PnL
-$8.86
Record
41%
471-687 (1158)
Invested
$36.63
Value
$37
PnL
+$0.37
Record
99%
518-7 (525)
Invested
$424.85
Value
—
PnL
-$424.85
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$87.19
Value
—
PnL
-$87.19
Record
46%
316-377 (693)
Invested
$22.05
Value
—
PnL
-$22.05
Record
45%
717-880 (1597)
Invested
$6.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.5
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
Secondhandvinyl<$100Invested
$8.01
Value
$9.77
PnL
+$1.76
Record
77%
294-89 (383)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$13.32
Value
—
PnL
-$10.76
Record
47%
1041-1174 (2215)
Invested
$2.24
Value
—
PnL
-$2.24
Record
49%
300-314 (614)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
65%
646-351 (997)
Invested
$14.21
Value
—
PnL
-$14.21
Record
44%
172-215 (387)
Invested
$289.54
Value
$0.03
PnL
+$5.92
Record
61%
54-35 (89)
Invested
$9.05
Value
—
PnL
+$121.67
Record
25%
1331-4013 (5344)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Yes — $2.2K
MadridTime
Yes — $1.0K
Venusian
Yes — $811.7
LightParadox
Yes — $707.77
looppau
Yes — $509.43
Limousin
Yes — $361.26
GC-P
CTRNo — $0
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thirdt1me
CTRNo — $0
pauleta23
Yes — $41.14