Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-05?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Yes 41%
1 arb excluded
$15.8K
$2.8K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 30 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed17 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 33¢ | $458.28 | $7.8K | +$903.38 | 51% 25773-24474 (50247) |
0X 0x0f3433d8b7596000bf1046aa822308d93cf67684 | Yesavg 35¢ | $1.6K | $4.5K | +$2.9K | 37% 517-868 (1385) |
 RN1 | Yesavg 70.5¢ | $947.2 | $1.1K | +$156.59 | 53% 61382-53692 (115074) |
PT PT-S7 | Yesavg 86.4¢ | $680.12 | $635.08 | +$1.64 | 49% 3218-3390 (6608) |
SP spyGoodLuck77 | Yesavg 62.4¢ | $375.63 | $601.49 | +$225.86 | 63% 1892-1135 (3027) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Yesavg 72.9¢ | $194.3 | $231.05 | +$36.75 | 46% 1544-1818 (3362) |
SE sentrio | Yesavg 33¢ | $134.47 | $229.41 | +$94.94 | 50% 25834-25541 (51375) |
 tradecraft | Yesavg 34.1¢ | $122.52 | $205.85 | -$46.96 | 51% 6355-6138 (12493) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Yesavg 73.6¢ | $199.45 | $176.01 | -$23.45 | 52% 14502-13185 (27687) |
 FaroeseNationalist | Yesavg 34¢ | $59.76 | $175.76 | +$116.09 | 50% 546-553 (1099) |
NM NM-PARB<$100 | Noavg 64.7¢ | $1.0K | $80.01 | -$981.75 | 64% 9928-5530 (15458) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 35¢ | $28 | $80.01 | -$0.32 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 64.7¢ | $981.42 | — | -$981.42 | |
LI LilybaeumCTR | Noavg 23.1¢ | $169.63 | — | -$181.57 | 61% 14368-9294 (23662) |
GC GC-PCTR | Noavg 65¢ | $560.88 | — | -$561.93 | 64% 9969-5598 (15567) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | $24.31 | $45 | +$25.69 | 48% 61202-65997 (127199) |
CA CannaeCTR | Noavg 65¢ | $130.44 | — | -$130.44 | 53% 16808-14937 (31745) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 65¢ | $321.07 | — | -$52.49 | 58% 46712-33673 (80385) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Noavg 30.5¢ | $82.33 | — | -$82.33 | 54% 9741-8133 (17874) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 64¢ | $423.38 | — | -$423.38 | 50% 28444-28347 (56791) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR | Noavg 66¢ | $396 | — | -$396 | 51% 1903-1854 (3757) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Noavg 4¢ | $18.64 | — | -$18.64 | 60% 2724-1829 (4553) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 3.1¢ | $9.41 | — | -$9.41 | 47% 10633-12155 (22788) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 21.7¢ | $29.7 | — | -$29.7 | 47% 11734-13452 (25186) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 34.1¢ | $55.93 | — | -$58.96 | 51% 1390-1358 (2748) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 16.7¢ | $21.21 | — | -$21.21 | 50% 1336-1316 (2652) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 33.1¢ | $34.99 | — | -$34.99 | 53% 1437-1278 (2715) |
Invested
$458.28
Value
$7.8K
PnL
+$903.38
Record
51%
25773-24474 (50247)
Invested
$1,564.15
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$2.9K
Record
37%
517-868 (1385)
RN1Invested
$947.2
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$156.59
Record
53%
61382-53692 (115074)
Invested
$680.12
Value
$635.08
PnL
+$1.64
Record
49%
3218-3390 (6608)
Invested
$375.63
Value
$601.49
PnL
+$225.86
Record
63%
1892-1135 (3027)
Invested
$194.3
Value
$231.05
PnL
+$36.75
Record
46%
1544-1818 (3362)
Invested
$134.47
Value
$229.41
PnL
+$94.94
Record
50%
25834-25541 (51375)
tradecraftInvested
$122.52
Value
$205.85
PnL
-$46.96
Record
51%
6355-6138 (12493)
Invested
$199.45
Value
$176.01
PnL
-$23.45
Record
52%
14502-13185 (27687)
FaroeseNationalistInvested
$59.76
Value
$175.76
PnL
+$116.09
Record
50%
546-553 (1099)
Invested
$1,009.43
Value
$80.01
PnL
-$981.75
Record
64%
9928-5530 (15458)
Both legs:
Invested
$169.63
Value
—
PnL
-$181.57
Record
61%
14368-9294 (23662)
Invested
$560.88
Value
—
PnL
-$561.93
Record
64%
9969-5598 (15567)
Invested
$24.31
Value
$45
PnL
+$25.69
Record
48%
61202-65997 (127199)
Invested
$130.44
Value
—
PnL
-$130.44
Record
53%
16808-14937 (31745)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$321.07
Value
—
PnL
-$52.49
Record
58%
46712-33673 (80385)
Invested
$82.33
Value
—
PnL
-$82.33
Record
54%
9741-8133 (17874)
Invested
$423.38
Value
—
PnL
-$423.38
Record
50%
28444-28347 (56791)
Invested
$396
Value
—
PnL
-$396
Record
51%
1903-1854 (3757)
Invested
$18.64
Value
—
PnL
-$18.64
Record
60%
2724-1829 (4553)
Invested
$9.41
Value
—
PnL
-$9.41
Record
47%
10633-12155 (22788)
Invested
$29.7
Value
—
PnL
-$29.7
Record
47%
11734-13452 (25186)
Invested
$55.93
Value
—
PnL
-$58.96
Record
51%
1390-1358 (2748)
Invested
$21.21
Value
—
PnL
-$21.21
Record
50%
1336-1316 (2652)
Invested
$34.99
Value
—
PnL
-$34.99
Record
53%
1437-1278 (2715)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Yes — $7.8K
0x0f3433d8b7596000bf1046aa822308d93cf67684
Yes — $4.5K
RN1
Yes — $1.1K
PT-S7
Yes — $635.08
spyGoodLuck77
Yes — $601.49
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Yes — $231.05
sentrio
Yes — $229.41
tradecraft
Yes — $205.85
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Yes — $176.01
FaroeseNationalist
Yes — $175.76