Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Meppen 1912: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
$594.72
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 72.7¢ | $2.1K | $2.6K | +$556.59 | 51% 2532-2437 (4969) |
DA dashattacker | Underavg 91.8¢ | $189.51 | $206.42 | +$16.91 | 61% 230-148 (378) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 66.2¢ | $166.32 | $127.25 | -$39.07 | 55% 1640-1346 (2986) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 66.2¢ | $84.21 | $127.25 | +$43.04 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 10.8¢ | $82.1 | — | -$82.1 | |
 RN1 | Underavg 85.7¢ | $118.82 | $137.48 | +$18.67 | 56% 4482-3456 (7938) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 75.6¢ | $64.86 | $85.77 | +$20.91 | 49% 1228-1254 (2482) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 44¢ | $10.74 | — | -$10.74 | 41% 544-784 (1328) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 43.7¢ | $7.61 | — | -$7.61 | 47% 1583-1774 (3357) |
Invested
$2,076.69
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$556.59
Record
51%
2532-2437 (4969)
Invested
$189.51
Value
$206.42
PnL
+$16.91
Record
61%
230-148 (378)
Invested
$166.32
Value
$127.25
PnL
-$39.07
Record
55%
1640-1346 (2986)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$118.82
Value
$137.48
PnL
+$18.67
Record
56%
4482-3456 (7938)
Invested
$64.86
Value
$85.77
PnL
+$20.91
Record
49%
1228-1254 (2482)
Invested
$10.74
Value
—
PnL
-$10.74
Record
41%
544-784 (1328)
Invested
$7.61
Value
—
PnL
-$7.61
Record
47%
1583-1774 (3357)