Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Colo Colo vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 57%
$3.2K
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE pelik | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$1.3 | 99% 1530-4 (1534) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 38.8Β’ | $3.0K | $1.1K | $-2.0K | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
AR ARocky33 | Overavg 91.9Β’ | $402.97 | $438.34 | +$35.37 | 78% 780-220 (1000) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 43.3Β’ | $366.28 | $367.86 | +$1.58 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 89Β’ | $27.55 | $30.96 | +$3.41 | 83% 183-37 (220) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 48Β’ | $30.84 | $0.01 | +$1.28 | 53% 1179-1029 (2208) |
UE uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9CTR | Underavg 22Β’ | $150 | β | -$150 | 64% 47-26 (73) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 26.9Β’ | $25.25 | β | -$25.25 | 49% 1865-1975 (3840) |
Invested
$1,303.28
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.3
Record
99%
1530-4 (1534)
Invested
$3,008.12
Value
$1.1K
PnL
$-2.0K
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
Invested
$402.97
Value
$438.34
PnL
+$35.37
Record
78%
780-220 (1000)
Invested
$366.28
Value
$367.86
PnL
+$1.58
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$27.55
Value
$30.96
PnL
+$3.41
Record
83%
183-37 (220)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$30.84
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.28
Record
53%
1179-1029 (2208)
Invested
$150
Value
β
PnL
-$150
Record
64%
47-26 (73)
Invested
$25.25
Value
β
PnL
-$25.25
Record
49%
1865-1975 (3840)