Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Santiago Wanderers vs. Deportes Copiapo: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Over 25%
1 arb excluded
$2.8K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE pelik | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $2.6K | $2.6K | +$2.61 | 99% 1690-5 (1695) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 38.6Β’ | $1.2K | β | $-1.2K | 49% 4712-4983 (9695) |
MO mouzsynapseCTR | Underavg 24Β’ | $244.42 | β | -$244.42 | 41% 166-240 (406) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 24Β’ | $141.16 | $146.11 | +$4.95 | 52% 2510-2301 (4811) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 24Β’ | $73.89 | β | -$73.89 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 46Β’ | $67.27 | $146.11 | +$78.84 | |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 32.3Β’ | $19.1 | β | -$19.1 | 48% 2576-2780 (5356) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 72Β’ | $3.6 | $0.01 | +$0.9 | 83% 289-61 (350) |
Invested
$2,608.07
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$2.61
Record
99%
1690-5 (1695)
Invested
$1,169.77
Value
β
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
49%
4712-4983 (9695)
Invested
$244.42
Value
β
PnL
-$244.42
Record
41%
166-240 (406)
Invested
$141.16
Value
$146.11
PnL
+$4.95
Record
52%
2510-2301 (4811)
Both legs:
Invested
$19.1
Value
β
PnL
-$19.1
Record
48%
2576-2780 (5356)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0.9
Record
83%
289-61 (350)