Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Sacramento State β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Sacramento State

Spread: Toledo (-25.5)
Resolved Sacramento State. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Sacramento State. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Sacramento State 44%
1 arb excluded
$36.0K
$17.5K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MU Multicoloured-Serf | Sacramento Stateavg 49Β’ | $12.9K | $26.4K | +$13.5K | 48% 306-333 (639) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Sacramento Stateavg 49.2Β’ | $2.8K | $5.7K | +$2.9K | 54% 18039-15168 (33207) |
HI hi774c | Sacramento Stateavg 49Β’ | $1.8K | $3.6K | +$1.8K | 50% 4971-4900 (9871) |
NM NM-PCTR | Toledoavg 50Β’ | $346.5 | β | -$346.5 | 40% 1398-2089 (3487) |
JU justaluckydude | Sacramento Stateavg 71Β’ | $158.4 | $223 | +$64.6 | 53% 11880-10404 (22284) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ARB<$100 | Toledoavg 49Β’ | $280.56 | $65 | -$215.56 | 56% 7920-6245 (14165) |
| β Sacramento State leg | Sacramento Stateavg 55Β’ | $35.75 | $65 | +$29.25 | |
| β Toledo leg | Toledoavg 49Β’ | $244.81 | β | -$244.81 | |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | Toledoavg 49.7Β’ | $388.59 | β | -$293.59 | 58% 45573-32987 (78560) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Toledoavg 35.2Β’ | $60.11 | β | -$60.11 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Toledoavg 50.2Β’ | $23.11 | β | -$23.11 | 51% 1246-1188 (2434) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Toledoavg 48Β’ | $20.4 | β | -$20.4 | 58% 19680-14468 (34148) |
Invested
$12,944.45
Value
$26.4K
PnL
+$13.5K
Record
48%
306-333 (639)
Invested
$2,808.11
Value
$5.7K
PnL
+$2.9K
Record
54%
18039-15168 (33207)
Invested
$1,754.73
Value
$3.6K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
50%
4971-4900 (9871)
Invested
$346.5
Value
β
PnL
-$346.5
Record
40%
1398-2089 (3487)
Invested
$158.4
Value
$223
PnL
+$64.6
Record
53%
11880-10404 (22284)
Invested
$280.56
Value
$65
PnL
-$215.56
Record
56%
7920-6245 (14165)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$388.59
Value
β
PnL
-$293.59
Record
58%
45573-32987 (78560)
Invested
$60.11
Value
β
PnL
-$60.11
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
Invested
$23.11
Value
β
PnL
-$23.11
Record
51%
1246-1188 (2434)
Invested
$20.4
Value
β
PnL
-$20.4
Record
58%
19680-14468 (34148)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Multicoloured-Serf
Sacramento State β $26.4K
HomeRunHazard
Sacramento State β $5.7K
hi774c
Sacramento State β $3.6K
NM-P
CTRToledo β $0
justaluckydude
Sacramento State β $223
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
ARBArbitrage β excluded

VeryLucky888
CTRToledo β $0
topdogbigboi
CTRToledo β $0
Venusian
CTRToledo β $0
ghorrock
CTRToledo β $0