Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5)

9 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Clemson (82%) · Clemson at 65¢ · $10K held · ended Nov 14

Georgia Tech36¢Clemson64¢Ended Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Clemson

Consensus Traders

Clemson 82%

Total Value

$10.1K

Combined PnL

$48.66

Smart Money Entry

59.7¢ → 64.5¢

+8% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralClemson at 65%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Clemson

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Georgia Tech36%

Clemson65%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Georgia Tech2 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares10,000

Combined PnL+$70.27

Clemson9 traders

Total Value$6.0K

Total Shares10,016

Combined PnL-$21.62

Georgia Tech — 18%Clemson — 82%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PR primmCTR	Georgia Techavg 40.3¢	$3.9K	$4.0K	+$68.66	59% 931-653 (1584)
RN1	Clemsonavg 60.2¢	$1.9K	$1.9K	-$23.41	55% 5380-4339 (9719)
38 38791873984189	Clemsonavg 59.3¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$4.2	48% 3231-3545 (6776)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Clemsonavg 61.4¢	$1.0K	$983.16	-$31.27	55% 1630-1336 (2966)
65 6512395314597884	Clemsonavg 60.3¢	$619.1	$610.76	-$8.34	50% 3807-3775 (7582)
SL SlickRick123	Clemsonavg 57¢	$478.8	$499.8	+$21	34% 370-708 (1078)
TO topdogbigboi	Clemsonavg 58.9¢	$338.66	$341.9	+$3.24	37% 1039-1757 (2796)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Clemsonavg 58¢	$309.72	$323.07	+$13.35	58% 3610-2614 (6224)
PA Pan9X	Clemsonavg 58.7¢	$210.48	$209.85	-$0.63	50% 1593-1619 (3212)
AM AmericaFirst1CTR	Georgia Techavg 40.4¢	$105.14	$106.75	+$1.61	47% 99-111 (210)
NO NotJump<$100	Clemsonavg 59¢	$28.13	$28.37	+$0.24	52% 833-779 (1612)

primmCTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$3,924.66

Value

$4.0K

PnL

+$68.66

Record

59%

931-653 (1584)

RN1

Clemson

Invested

$1,885.09

Value

$1.9K

PnL

-$23.41

Record

55%

5380-4339 (9719)

38791873984189

Clemson

Invested

$1,098.33

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$4.2

Record

48%

3231-3545 (6776)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Clemson

Invested

$1,014.43

Value

$983.16

PnL

-$31.27

Record

55%

1630-1336 (2966)

6512395314597884

Clemson

Invested

$619.1

Value

$610.76

PnL

-$8.34

Record

50%

3807-3775 (7582)

SlickRick123

Clemson

Invested

$478.8

Value

$499.8

PnL

+$21

Record

34%

370-708 (1078)

topdogbigboi

Clemson

Invested

$338.66

Value

$341.9

PnL

+$3.24

Record

37%

1039-1757 (2796)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Clemson

Invested

$309.72

Value

$323.07

PnL

+$13.35

Record

58%

3610-2614 (6224)

Pan9X

Clemson

Invested

$210.48

Value

$209.85

PnL

-$0.63

Record

50%

1593-1619 (3212)

AmericaFirst1CTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$105.14

Value

$106.75

PnL

+$1.61

Record

47%

99-111 (210)

NotJump<$100

Clemson

Invested

$28.13

Value

$28.37

PnL

+$0.24

Record

52%

833-779 (1612)

Research grade

NeutralClemson at 65%

Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Clemson

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Clemson wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance66.6%

64.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$50.08

Max Loss

-$100.00

150.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.