Georgia Tech vs. Clemson

17 of 24 top Polymarket traders hold Clemson (71%) · Clemson at 52¢ · $83K held · ended Nov 14

Georgia Tech49¢Clemson51¢Ended Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Clemson

Consensus Traders

Clemson 71%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$82.7K

Combined PnL

-$872.56

Smart Money Entry

56¢ → 51.5¢

-8% since entry · 17 traders

Research grade

NeutralClemson at 52%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Clemson

17 of 24 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Georgia Tech49%

Clemson52%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Georgia Tech7 traders

Total Value$39.9K

Total Shares77,920

Combined PnL+$5.5K

Clemson17 traders

Total Value$40.3K

Total Shares78,237

Combined PnL$-6.4K

Georgia Tech — 29%Clemson — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PR primmCTR	Georgia Techavg 43.3¢	$22.6K	$26.3K	+$3.7K	59% 931-653 (1584)
RN1	Clemsonavg 58.3¢	$12.3K	$10.8K	$-1.6K	55% 5380-4339 (9719)
65 6512395314597884	Clemsonavg 61.5¢	$10.5K	$8.2K	$-2.3K	50% 3807-3775 (7582)
VI vibing123CTR	Georgia Techavg 54.5¢	$7.5K	$7.2K	-$276.08	62% 1138-702 (1840)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Clemsonavg 45.4¢	$5.8K	$6.6K	+$771.21	50% 2532-2495 (5027)
0X 0xfFFF6537	Clemsonavg 61.2¢	$4.2K	$3.5K	-$625.24	38% 53-87 (140)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Clemsonavg 55.6¢	$2.8K	$2.3K	-$449.3	49% 525-557 (1082)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Georgia Techavg 52.5¢	$2.3K	$2.2K	-$100.17	56% 4065-3175 (7240)
└ Clemson leg	Clemsonavg 52.1¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$13.05
└ Georgia Tech leg	Georgia Techavg 52.5¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$87.12
TA taylorsversionCTR	Georgia Techavg 59.1¢	$2.4K	$2.1K	-$348.54	52% 106-98 (204)
CM cm2897CTR	Georgia Techavg 16¢	$641.6	$2.0K	+$1.4K	49% 1168-1203 (2371)
38 38791873984189	Clemsonavg 64.8¢	$4.2K	$1.8K	$-1.2K	48% 3231-3545 (6776)
BI BillBenter2026CTR	Georgia Techavg 22.2¢	$959.78	$1.7K	+$864.62	30% 244-582 (826)
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465	Clemsonavg 46¢	$1.5K	$1.6K	+$16.82	51% 3873-3657 (7530)
WL Wldntulike2know	Clemsonavg 46.3¢	$2.4K	$1.3K	-$85	5% 9-155 (164)
ME metski29	Clemsonavg 46¢	$972.58	$1.0K	+$74	11% 7-56 (63)
TH thirdt1me	Clemsonavg 54.3¢	$1.2K	$1.0K	-$92.21	48% 281-299 (580)
BA babybells	Clemsonavg 76.5¢	$1.7K	$798.75	-$922.3	30% 208-477 (685)
AM AmericaFirst1CTR	Georgia Techavg 47.2¢	$420.84	$575.36	+$154.52	47% 99-111 (210)
PA Pan9X	Clemsonavg 57.2¢	$801.17	$528.66	-$154.16	50% 1593-1619 (3212)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Clemsonavg 41.8¢	$843.02	$518.06	+$79.23	55% 1630-1336 (2966)
OJ ojg	Clemsonavg 40¢	$172.18	$213.07	+$40.89	48% 230-247 (477)
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Clemsonavg 53.3¢	$232.27	$161	-$37	52% 833-779 (1612)
└ Clemson leg	Clemsonavg 53.3¢	$107.63	$91.85	-$15.45
└ Georgia Tech leg	Georgia Techavg 50.9¢	$64.55	$69.14	-$21.56
13 13897651ARB<$100	Georgia Techavg 53.7¢	$194.28	$155.45	+$13.17	43% 1179-1556 (2735)
└ Georgia Tech leg	Georgia Techavg 53.7¢	$123.29	$115.85	+$1.57
└ Clemson leg	Clemsonavg 35¢	$28	$39.6	+$11.6
TO topdogbigboi<$100	Clemsonavg 47¢	$10.68	$11.02	+$0.34	37% 1039-1757 (2796)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Georgia Techavg 14¢	$7.7	$7.98	+$0.28	53% 1376-1196 (2572)

primmCTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$22,593.79

Value

$26.3K

PnL

+$3.7K

Record

59%

931-653 (1584)

RN1

Clemson

Invested

$12,328.57

Value

$10.8K

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

55%

5380-4339 (9719)

6512395314597884

Clemson

Invested

$10,501.77

Value

$8.2K

PnL

$-2.3K

Record

50%

3807-3775 (7582)

vibing123CTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$7,497.77

Value

$7.2K

PnL

-$276.08

Record

62%

1138-702 (1840)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Clemson

Invested

$5,825.92

Value

$6.6K

PnL

+$771.21

Record

50%

2532-2495 (5027)

0xfFFF6537

Clemson

Invested

$4,164.83

Value

$3.5K

PnL

-$625.24

Record

38%

53-87 (140)

CandleHammerDrums

Clemson

Invested

$2,751.5

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$449.3

Record

49%

525-557 (1082)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Georgia Tech

Invested

$2,263.08

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$100.17

Record

56%

4065-3175 (7240)

Both legs:

Clemson$1,112.8152.1¢-$13.05

Georgia Tech$1,150.2752.5¢-$87.12

taylorsversionCTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$2,402.21

Value

$2.1K

PnL

-$348.54

Record

52%

106-98 (204)

cm2897CTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$641.6

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$1.4K

Record

49%

1168-1203 (2371)

38791873984189

Clemson

Invested

$4,246.97

Value

$1.8K

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

48%

3231-3545 (6776)

BillBenter2026CTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$959.78

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$864.62

Record

30%

244-582 (826)

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Clemson

Invested

$1,547.8

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$16.82

Record

51%

3873-3657 (7530)

Wldntulike2know

Clemson

Invested

$2,369.59

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$85

Record

9-155 (164)

metski29

Clemson

Invested

$972.58

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$74

Record

11%

7-56 (63)

thirdt1me

Clemson

Invested

$1,205.91

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$92.21

Record

48%

281-299 (580)

babybells

Clemson

Invested

$1,721.05

Value

$798.75

PnL

-$922.3

Record

30%

208-477 (685)

AmericaFirst1CTR

Georgia Tech

Invested

$420.84

Value

$575.36

PnL

+$154.52

Record

47%

99-111 (210)

Pan9X

Clemson

Invested

$801.17

Value

$528.66

PnL

-$154.16

Record

50%

1593-1619 (3212)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Clemson

Invested

$843.02

Value

$518.06

PnL

+$79.23

Record

55%

1630-1336 (2966)

ojg

Clemson

Invested

$172.18

Value

$213.07

PnL

+$40.89

Record

48%

230-247 (477)

NotJumpARB<$100

Clemson

Invested

$232.27

Value

$161

PnL

-$37

Record

52%

833-779 (1612)

Both legs:

Clemson$107.6353.3¢-$15.45

Georgia Tech$64.5550.9¢-$21.56

13897651ARB<$100

Georgia Tech

Invested

$194.28

Value

$155.45

PnL

+$13.17

Record

43%

1179-1556 (2735)

Both legs:

Georgia Tech$123.2953.7¢+$1.57

Clemson$2835¢+$11.6

topdogbigboi<$100

Clemson

Invested

$10.68

Value

$11.02

PnL

+$0.34

Record

37%

1039-1757 (2796)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Georgia Tech

Invested

$7.7

Value

$7.98

PnL

+$0.28

Record

53%

1376-1196 (2572)

Research grade

NeutralClemson at 52%

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

Clemson

17 of 24 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Clemson wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance53.7%

51.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$86.06

Max Loss

-$100.00

186.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.