Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Syracuse Orange — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Syracuse Orange
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-5.5)
Resolved Syracuse Orange. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Syracuse Orange. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Syracuse Orange 62%
1 arb excluded
$6.3K
$857.96
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Syracuse Orangeavg 47¢ | $1.7K | $2.9K | +$1.2K | 55% 1053-856 (1909) |
TA takeormake | Syracuse Orangeavg 77.2¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$33.33 | 22% 85-296 (381) |
GL glennyorkshire | Syracuse Orangeavg 49¢ | $471.15 | $961.54 | +$490.39 | 54% 20-17 (37) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 59.1¢ | $603.69 | $586.9 | -$247.64 | 51% 507-483 (990) |
| └ Syracuse Orange leg | Syracuse Orangeavg 59.1¢ | $346.8 | $586.9 | +$240.09 | |
| └ Indiana Hoosiers leg | Indiana Hoosiersavg 20¢ | $256.88 | — | -$487.73 | |
 RN1 | Syracuse Orangeavg 63.2¢ | $214.27 | $305.12 | +$90.85 | 51% 289-274 (563) |
HI hi774cCTR | Indiana Hoosiersavg 49¢ | $484.42 | — | -$484.42 | 3% 9-294 (303) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 62¢ | $41.47 | $66.89 | +$25.42 | 28% 122-309 (431) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 61.4¢ | $31.64 | $45.92 | +$14.28 | 48% 436-463 (899) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 54.2¢ | $26.17 | $39 | +$12.83 | 49% 194-203 (397) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Indiana Hoosiersavg 59.6¢ | $37.13 | — | -$37.13 | 53% 218-191 (409) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Indiana Hoosiersavg 38.5¢ | $320.12 | — | -$320.12 | 20% 51-203 (254) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 48.3¢ | $9.8 | $14.99 | +$5.2 | 18% 55-248 (303) |
CM cm2897CTR<$100 | Indiana Hoosiersavg 41.8¢ | $92.84 | — | -$92.84 | 47% 428-476 (904) |
0X 0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9CTR<$100 | Indiana Hoosiersavg 47¢ | $58.75 | — | -$58.75 | 1% 2-296 (298) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Indiana Hoosiersavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 120-112 (232) |
Invested
$1,688.96
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
55%
1053-856 (1909)
Invested
$1,377.19
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$33.33
Record
22%
85-296 (381)
Invested
$471.15
Value
$961.54
PnL
+$490.39
Record
54%
20-17 (37)
Invested
$603.69
Value
$586.9
PnL
-$247.64
Record
51%
507-483 (990)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$214.27
Value
$305.12
PnL
+$90.85
Record
51%
289-274 (563)
Invested
$484.42
Value
—
PnL
-$484.42
Record
3%
9-294 (303)
Invested
$41.47
Value
$66.89
PnL
+$25.42
Record
28%
122-309 (431)
Invested
$31.64
Value
$45.92
PnL
+$14.28
Record
48%
436-463 (899)
Invested
$26.17
Value
$39
PnL
+$12.83
Record
49%
194-203 (397)
Invested
$37.13
Value
—
PnL
-$37.13
Record
53%
218-191 (409)
Invested
$320.12
Value
—
PnL
-$320.12
Record
20%
51-203 (254)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$14.99
PnL
+$5.2
Record
18%
55-248 (303)
Invested
$92.84
Value
—
PnL
-$92.84
Record
47%
428-476 (904)
Invested
$58.75
Value
—
PnL
-$58.75
Record
1%
2-296 (298)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
120-112 (232)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
Syracuse Orange — $2.9K
takeormake
Syracuse Orange — $1.4K
glennyorkshire
Syracuse Orange — $961.54
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
RN1
Syracuse Orange — $305.12
hi774c
CTRIndiana Hoosiers — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Syracuse Orange — $66.89
38791873984189
Syracuse Orange — $45.92
Pan9X
Syracuse Orange — $39
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRIndiana Hoosiers — $0