Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Syracuse Orange — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Syracuse Orange
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-4.5)
Resolved Syracuse Orange. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Syracuse Orange. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Syracuse Orange 73%
1 arb excluded
$3.1K
$329.9
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 44¢ | $878.5 | $1.3K | +$59.74 | 51% 507-483 (990) |
| └ Syracuse Orange leg | Syracuse Orangeavg 44¢ | $574.31 | $1.3K | +$729.75 | |
| └ Indiana Hoosiers leg | Indiana Hoosiersavg 40.7¢ | $304.18 | — | -$670.01 | |
 RN1 | Syracuse Orangeavg 64.7¢ | $429.97 | $455.81 | +$25.84 | 51% 289-274 (563) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Syracuse Orangeavg 51.8¢ | $216.29 | $410 | +$193.71 | 53% 218-191 (409) |
TA takeormake | Syracuse Orangeavg 54.5¢ | $211.3 | $383.4 | +$172.1 | 22% 85-296 (381) |
 VeryLucky888 | Syracuse Orangeavg 43.9¢ | $125.43 | $290.9 | +$165.47 | 52% 120-112 (232) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 99.1¢ | $77 | $77 | +$0.69 | — 11-2 (13) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 44¢ | $25.85 | $58.75 | +$32.9 | 28% 100-254 (354) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 61.1¢ | $27.26 | $33.62 | +$6.36 | 49% 194-203 (397) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Indiana Hoosiersavg 49.5¢ | $106.21 | — | -$106.21 | 28% 122-309 (431) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 45¢ | $11.25 | $25 | +$13.75 | 18% 55-248 (303) |
 dips.<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 58.1¢ | $13.54 | $23.32 | +$9.78 | 44% 125-158 (283) |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 58¢ | $11.6 | $20 | +$8.4 | 62% 79-49 (128) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Indiana Hoosiersavg 47.6¢ | $24.25 | — | -$24.25 | 48% 436-463 (899) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Indiana Hoosiersavg 53.6¢ | $70.38 | — | -$70.38 | 55% 1053-856 (1909) |
US User7429<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 58¢ | $1.89 | $3.25 | +$1.37 | 16% 38-206 (244) |
CM cm2897CTR<$100 | Indiana Hoosiersavg 47¢ | $99.64 | — | -$99.64 | 47% 428-476 (904) |
SU SunflowaRebuildYear<$100 | Syracuse Orangeavg 47.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 5% 12-213 (225) |
Invested
$878.5
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$59.74
Record
51%
507-483 (990)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$429.97
Value
$455.81
PnL
+$25.84
Record
51%
289-274 (563)
Invested
$216.29
Value
$410
PnL
+$193.71
Record
53%
218-191 (409)
Invested
$211.3
Value
$383.4
PnL
+$172.1
Record
22%
85-296 (381)
VeryLucky888Invested
$125.43
Value
$290.9
PnL
+$165.47
Record
52%
120-112 (232)
Invested
$77
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.69
Record
—
11-2 (13)
Invested
$25.85
Value
$58.75
PnL
+$32.9
Record
28%
100-254 (354)
Invested
$27.26
Value
$33.62
PnL
+$6.36
Record
49%
194-203 (397)
Invested
$106.21
Value
—
PnL
-$106.21
Record
28%
122-309 (431)
Invested
$11.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$13.75
Record
18%
55-248 (303)
dips.<$100Invested
$13.54
Value
$23.32
PnL
+$9.78
Record
44%
125-158 (283)
Invested
$11.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.4
Record
62%
79-49 (128)
Invested
$24.25
Value
—
PnL
-$24.25
Record
48%
436-463 (899)
Invested
$70.38
Value
—
PnL
-$70.38
Record
55%
1053-856 (1909)
Invested
$1.89
Value
$3.25
PnL
+$1.37
Record
16%
38-206 (244)
Invested
$99.64
Value
—
PnL
-$99.64
Record
47%
428-476 (904)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
5%
12-213 (225)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
RN1
Syracuse Orange — $455.81
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Syracuse Orange — $410
takeormake
Syracuse Orange — $383.4
VeryLucky888
Syracuse Orange — $290.9
MarquisDeMott
Syracuse Orange — $77
sentrio
Syracuse Orange — $58.75
Pan9X
Syracuse Orange — $33.62
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRIndiana Hoosiers — $0
ameisgoat11
Syracuse Orange — $25