Jackson State Tigers vs. Winthrop Eagles

9 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Jackson State Tigers (60%) · Jackson State Tigers at 75¢ · $2K held · ended Nov 14

Jackson State Tigers75¢Winthrop Eagles25¢Ended Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Jackson State Tigers

Consensus Traders

Jackson State Tigers 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$122.23

Smart Money Entry

49.3¢ → 74.5¢

+51% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

AvoidJackson State Tigers at 75%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Jackson State Tigers

9 of 15 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Jackson State Tigers75%

Winthrop Eagles26%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Jackson State Tigers9 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,893

Combined PnL+$156.42

Winthrop Eagles6 traders

Total Value$271.12

Total Shares910

Combined PnL-$34.2

Jackson State Tigers — 60%Winthrop Eagles — 40%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Fading

-17 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

83% of non-arb traders are on Jackson State Tigers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrJackson State Tigers 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Jackson State Tigers 83% · 6

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Jackson State Tigersavg 50.2¢	$530.09	$436.38	+$88.79	52% 883-823 (1706)
└ Jackson State Tigers leg	Jackson State Tigersavg 50.2¢	$267.59	$333.26	+$65.67
└ Winthrop Eagles leg	Winthrop Eaglesavg 50¢	$137.5	$103.13	+$23.13
FL Flaznorp	Jackson State Tigersavg 71.8¢	$473.45	$368.3	-$11.36	49% 4068-4262 (8330)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Jackson State Tigersavg 68¢	$340	$312.5	-$27.5	55% 1630-1337 (2967)
VE Venusian	Jackson State Tigersavg 29.5¢	$71.4	$186.47	+$115.07	37% 1035-1784 (2819)
HO HomeRunHazard	Jackson State Tigersavg 22¢	$104.92	$128.77	+$23.85	56% 3687-2847 (6534)
RN1CTR	Winthrop Eaglesavg 27.5¢	$110.49	$98.32	-$12.17	55% 5455-4439 (9894)
LI Limousin<$100	Jackson State Tigersavg 33¢	$40.95	$95.41	+$54.46	37% 1030-1762 (2792)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 46¢	$75.46	$58.22	-$17.24	48% 3273-3600 (6873)
TH thirdt1me<$100	Jackson State Tigersavg 61¢	$52.37	$52.8	+$0.43	48% 283-303 (586)
BO BoomLaLaCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 24.5¢	$33.48	$34.57	+$1.09	35% 162-305 (467)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 28¢	$33.04	$31.86	-$1.18	37% 1053-1783 (2836)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 33.3¢	$19.36	$27.11	+$7.75	50% 1601-1625 (3226)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Winthrop Eaglesavg 39¢	$33.48	$21.03	-$12.45	38% 1060-1756 (2816)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Jackson State Tigersavg 72¢	$10.8	$11.33	+$0.53	48% 2212-2378 (4590)
OD Oddstorm<$100	Jackson State Tigersavg 22¢	$3.3	$4.05	+$0.75	33% 103-213 (316)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Jackson State Tigersavg 23¢	$1.15	$1.35	+$0.2	41% 705-1014 (1719)

NotJumpARB<$100

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$530.09

Value

$436.38

PnL

+$88.79

Record

52%

883-823 (1706)

Both legs:

Jackson State Tigers$267.5950.2¢+$65.67

Winthrop Eagles$137.550¢+$23.13

Flaznorp

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$473.45

Value

$368.3

PnL

-$11.36

Record

49%

4068-4262 (8330)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$340

Value

$312.5

PnL

-$27.5

Record

55%

1630-1337 (2967)

Venusian

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$71.4

Value

$186.47

PnL

+$115.07

Record

37%

1035-1784 (2819)

HomeRunHazard

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$104.92

Value

$128.77

PnL

+$23.85

Record

56%

3687-2847 (6534)

RN1CTR

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$110.49

Value

$98.32

PnL

-$12.17

Record

55%

5455-4439 (9894)

Limousin<$100

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$40.95

Value

$95.41

PnL

+$54.46

Record

37%

1030-1762 (2792)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$75.46

Value

$58.22

PnL

-$17.24

Record

48%

3273-3600 (6873)

thirdt1me<$100

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$52.37

Value

$52.8

PnL

+$0.43

Record

48%

283-303 (586)

BoomLaLaCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$33.48

Value

$34.57

PnL

+$1.09

Record

35%

162-305 (467)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$33.04

Value

$31.86

PnL

-$1.18

Record

37%

1053-1783 (2836)

Pan9XCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$19.36

Value

$27.11

PnL

+$7.75

Record

50%

1601-1625 (3226)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Winthrop Eagles

Invested

$33.48

Value

$21.03

PnL

-$12.45

Record

38%

1060-1756 (2816)

ferdinand2<$100

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$10.8

Value

$11.33

PnL

+$0.53

Record

48%

2212-2378 (4590)

Oddstorm<$100

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$3.3

Value

$4.05

PnL

+$0.75

Record

33%

103-213 (316)

ameisgoat11<$100

Jackson State Tigers

Invested

$1.15

Value

$1.35

PnL

+$0.2

Record

41%

705-1014 (1719)

Research grade

AvoidJackson State Tigers at 75%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Jackson State Tigers

9 of 15 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Fading

-17 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

83% of non-arb traders are on Jackson State Tigers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrJackson State Tigers 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Jackson State Tigers 83% · 6

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Jackson State Tigers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance76.4%

74.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$30.85

Max Loss

-$100.00

130.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.