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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 162.5

Resolved Under. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Over 36%

Total Value

$181.62

Combined PnL

-$56.12

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 14 top traders (36%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares258

Combined PnL-$130.7

Under9 traders

Total Value$181.62

Total Shares182

Combined PnL+$74.58

Over — 36%Under — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR	Overavg 51¢	$121.06	—	-$121.06	55% 1350-1126 (2476)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Underavg 50¢	$400	$79	+$42.21	73% 119-43 (162)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Underavg 63.8¢	$30.73	$33.49	+$2.76	50% 3544-3611 (7155)
RN1<$100	Underavg 46¢	$13.27	$25.64	+$12.37	56% 5073-4021 (9094)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	Underavg 61¢	$7.59	$12.44	+$4.85	51% 2368-2313 (4681)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Underavg 46.5¢	$4.65	$10	+$5.35	40% 614-914 (1528)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100	Underavg 99¢	$5.42	$5.47	+$0.05	98% 420-7 (427)
38 38791873984189<$100	Underavg 59¢	$3.22	$5.46	+$2.24	48% 2942-3249 (6191)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Underavg 60¢	$3.05	$5.08	+$2.03	49% 1883-1987 (3870)
0xheavy888<$100	Underavg 46¢	$2.32	$5.04	+$2.72	55% 441-368 (809)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Overavg 54¢	$2.96	—	-$2.96	53% 1186-1032 (2218)
NO NotJumpCTR<$100	Overavg 40¢	$2.03	—	-$2.03	53% 750-672 (1422)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100	Overavg 53¢	$2.65	—	-$2.65	57% 3570-2717 (6287)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Overavg 40¢	$2	—	-$2	37% 497-832 (1329)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR

Invested

$121.06

Value

—

PnL

-$121.06

Record

55%

1350-1126 (2476)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$400

Value

$79

PnL

+$42.21

Record

73%

119-43 (162)

Invested

$30.73

Value

$33.49

PnL

+$2.76

Record

50%

3544-3611 (7155)

Invested

$13.27

Value

$25.64

PnL

+$12.37

Record

56%

5073-4021 (9094)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

Invested

$7.59

Value

$12.44

PnL

+$4.85

Record

51%

2368-2313 (4681)

ameisgoat11<$100

Invested

$4.65

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.35

Record

40%

614-914 (1528)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100

Invested

$5.42

Value

$5.47

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

420-7 (427)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$3.22

Value

$5.46

PnL

+$2.24

Record

48%

2942-3249 (6191)

ferdinand2<$100

Invested

$3.05

Value

$5.08

PnL

+$2.03

Record

49%

1883-1987 (3870)

0xheavy888<$100

Invested

$2.32

Value

$5.04

PnL

+$2.72

Record

55%

441-368 (809)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

$2.96

Value

—

PnL

-$2.96

Record

53%

1186-1032 (2218)

NotJumpCTR<$100

Invested

$2.03

Value

—

PnL

-$2.03

Record

53%

750-672 (1422)

HomeRunHazardCTR<$100

Invested

$2.65

Value

—

PnL

-$2.65

Record

57%

3570-2717 (6287)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

37%

497-832 (1329)

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 14 top traders (36%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd3d7e576...8bf1f7

Slug

cbb-ga-ncar-2026-11-13-total-162pt5

Traders in this Market

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Under — $79

Flaznorp

Under — $33.49

RN1

Under — $25.64

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Under — $12.44

ameisgoat11

Under — $10

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Under — $5.47

38791873984189

Under — $5.46

ferdinand2

Under — $5.08

0xheavy888

Under — $5.04

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