Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. DePaul Blue Demons

7 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold DePaul Blue Demons (64%) · DePaul Blue Demons at 99¢ · $2K held · ended Nov 10

Alabama A&M Bulldogs<1¢DePaul Blue Demons>99¢Ended Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

DePaul Blue Demons

Consensus Traders

DePaul Blue Demons 64%

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

-$60.42

Smart Money Entry

97.6¢ → 99.5¢

+2% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

AvoidDePaul Blue Demons at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

DePaul Blue Demons

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Alabama A&M Bulldogs1%

DePaul Blue Demons99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

DePaul Blue Demons7 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares2,462

Combined PnL-$33.33

Alabama A&M Bulldogs4 traders

Total Value$8.46

Total Shares1,538

Combined PnL-$27.09

DePaul Blue Demons — 64%Alabama A&M Bulldogs — 36%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+7 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 59%

Freshness

Mature

14h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

64% of non-arb traders are on DePaul Blue Demons. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 59% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpDePaul Blue Demons 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrDePaul Blue Demons 50% · 8

Aligned

Top 1000DePaul Blue Demons 64% · 11

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
nigiri99	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 97.6¢	$775.19	$789.63	+$14.44	40% 29-43 (72)
SN SnakeBall	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 97.4¢	$745.73	$664.59	-$64.07	48% 77-85 (162)
XT xtxpleasecallme	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 97.5¢	$339.95	$346.85	+$5.51	52% 1020-950 (1970)
SU suitcase6628	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 98.1¢	$323.77	$328.1	+$4.32	62% 79-49 (128)
38 38791873984189	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 97.5¢	$300	$298.35	+$5.85	48% 436-463 (899)
PA Pan9X<$100	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 97.7¢	$23.79	$24.21	+$0.32	49% 194-203 (397)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 96¢	$8.5	$8.81	+$0.31	53% 218-191 (409)
0X 0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9CTR<$100	Alabama A&M Bulldogsavg 2¢	$21.9	$6.02	-$15.88	1% 2-296 (298)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Alabama A&M Bulldogsavg 2.7¢	$6.48	$1.32	-$5.16	26% 122-345 (467)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Alabama A&M Bulldogsavg 3.7¢	$6.48	$0.96	-$5.51	46% 63-73 (136)
OD OddstormCTR<$100	Alabama A&M Bulldogsavg 2.5¢	$0.69	$0.15	-$0.54	2% 1-63 (64)

nigiri99

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$775.19

Value

$789.63

PnL

+$14.44

Record

40%

29-43 (72)

SnakeBall

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$745.73

Value

$664.59

PnL

-$64.07

Record

48%

77-85 (162)

xtxpleasecallme

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$339.95

Value

$346.85

PnL

+$5.51

Record

52%

1020-950 (1970)

suitcase6628

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$323.77

Value

$328.1

PnL

+$4.32

Record

62%

79-49 (128)

38791873984189

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$300

Value

$298.35

PnL

+$5.85

Record

48%

436-463 (899)

Pan9X<$100

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$23.79

Value

$24.21

PnL

+$0.32

Record

49%

194-203 (397)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$8.5

Value

$8.81

PnL

+$0.31

Record

53%

218-191 (409)

0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9CTR<$100

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Invested

$21.9

Value

$6.02

PnL

-$15.88

Record

2-296 (298)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Invested

$6.48

Value

$1.32

PnL

-$5.16

Record

26%

122-345 (467)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Invested

$6.48

Value

$0.96

PnL

-$5.51

Record

46%

63-73 (136)

OddstormCTR<$100

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Invested

$0.69

Value

$0.15

PnL

-$0.54

Record

1-63 (64)

Research grade

AvoidDePaul Blue Demons at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

DePaul Blue Demons

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+7 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 59%

Freshness

Mature

14h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

64% of non-arb traders are on DePaul Blue Demons. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 59% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpDePaul Blue Demons 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrDePaul Blue Demons 50% · 8

Aligned

Top 1000DePaul Blue Demons 64% · 11

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that DePaul Blue Demons wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.