Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
43
Up 64%
$9.2K
-$604.88
Smart Money Signal
28 of 43 top traders (65%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99Β’ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | β |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 83.1Β’ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$89.18 | β |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 72.1Β’ | $414.44 | $476.61 | +$62.18 | β |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 52Β’ | $225.47 | $433.29 | +$207.81 | β |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 84.6Β’ | $441.17 | $408.19 | -$32.98 | β |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 75.7Β’ | $444.49 | $374.74 | -$69.75 | β |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Upavg 89.9Β’ | $280.99 | $312.7 | +$31.71 | β |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 63.1Β’ | $245.24 | $277.44 | +$32.2 | β |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 70.2Β’ | $160.8 | $164.1 | +$3.3 | β |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 83.6Β’ | $127.13 | $111.5 | -$15.63 | β |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 69.1Β’ | $106.15 | $112 | +$5.85 | β |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 73.5Β’ | $123.07 | $104.44 | -$18.63 | β |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 79.9Β’ | $82.92 | $103.71 | +$20.8 | β |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR | Downavg 35.5Β’ | $157.03 | β | -$157.03 | β |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 84.1Β’ | $57.58 | $57.11 | -$0.47 | β |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 88.3Β’ | $64.24 | $45.58 | -$18.66 | β |
![]() OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $33.22 | $38 | +$4.78 | β |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 58.6Β’ | $37.97 | $37.22 | -$0.74 | β |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 86Β’ | $40.46 | $35.31 | -$5.15 | β |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 70.7Β’ | $20.77 | $29.37 | +$8.6 | β |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Upavg 86Β’ | $23.16 | $26.93 | +$3.77 | β |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $33.2 | $25 | -$8.2 | β |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 94.3Β’ | $20.31 | $21.53 | +$1.22 | β |
Invested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
β
Invested
$1,417.66
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$89.18
Record
β
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$414.44
Value
$476.61
PnL
+$62.18
Record
β
Invested
$225.47
Value
$433.29
PnL
+$207.81
Record
β
Invested
$441.17
Value
$408.19
PnL
-$32.98
Record
β
Invested
$444.49
Value
$374.74
PnL
-$69.75
Record
β
Invested
$280.99
Value
$312.7
PnL
+$31.71
Record
β
Invested
$245.24
Value
$277.44
PnL
+$32.2
Record
β
Invested
$160.8
Value
$164.1
PnL
+$3.3
Record
β
machinelearnedInvested
$127.13
Value
$111.5
PnL
-$15.63
Record
β
Invested
$106.15
Value
$112
PnL
+$5.85
Record
β
Invested
$123.07
Value
$104.44
PnL
-$18.63
Record
β
Invested
$82.92
Value
$103.71
PnL
+$20.8
Record
β
Invested
$157.03
Value
β
PnL
-$157.03
Record
β
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$57.58
Value
$57.11
PnL
-$0.47
Record
β
Invested
$64.24
Value
$45.58
PnL
-$18.66
Record
β
OhioAI<$100Invested
$33.22
Value
$38
PnL
+$4.78
Record
β
Invested
$37.97
Value
$37.22
PnL
-$0.74
Record
β
Invested
$40.46
Value
$35.31
PnL
-$5.15
Record
β
Invested
$20.77
Value
$29.37
PnL
+$8.6
Record
β
Invested
$23.16
Value
$26.93
PnL
+$3.77
Record
β
ohioism<$100Invested
$33.2
Value
$25
PnL
-$8.2
Record
β
Invested
$20.31
Value
$21.53
PnL
+$1.22
Record
β
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up β $3.5K
Bonereaper
Up β $1.5K
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
QuantumPebble673
Up β $500
CrouchPredictions
Up β $476.61
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $433.29
blue.birds
Up β $408.19
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up β $374.74
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Up β $312.7
1000monkeys
Up β $277.44