Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 88%
$2.3K
$281.84
Smart Money Signal
14 of 16 top traders (88%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 77.7¢ | $389.7 | $426.39 | +$36.69 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
 Atomforge | Downavg 73.2¢ | $256.68 | $342 | +$85.32 | 64% 5030-2825 (7855) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 69¢ | $231.73 | $335.62 | +$103.89 | 59% 11420-7847 (19267) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $163.37 | $174.29 | +$10.92 | 50% 6436-6457 (12893) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 86.8¢ | $169.66 | $173 | +$3.34 | 55% 9938-8254 (18192) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $148.5 | $150 | +$1.5 | 74% 105203-37122 (142325) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 99¢ | $116.82 | $118 | +$1.18 | 66% 130972-67764 (198736) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88.5¢ | $77.88 | $88 | +$10.12 | 65% 130645-70397 (201042) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Downavg 88.2¢ | $137.03 | $155.38 | +$18.35 | 52% 2180-1978 (4158) |
BY ByteBadger93 | Downavg 88.8¢ | $110.26 | $124.14 | +$13.88 | 55% 1746-1424 (3170) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $54.28 | $55.39 | +$1.11 | 55% 52460-42905 (95365) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489<$100 | Downavg 98.1¢ | $88.32 | $90 | +$1.68 | 75% 295-99 (394) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $21.89 | $22.34 | +$0.45 | 55% 50273-41876 (92149) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.3¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 52% 12432-11475 (23907) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 61% 46285-29472 (75757) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 55% 52018-43125 (95143) |
Invested
$389.7
Value
$426.39
PnL
+$36.69
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
AtomforgeInvested
$256.68
Value
$342
PnL
+$85.32
Record
64%
5030-2825 (7855)
Invested
$231.73
Value
$335.62
PnL
+$103.89
Record
59%
11420-7847 (19267)
Invested
$163.37
Value
$174.29
PnL
+$10.92
Record
50%
6436-6457 (12893)
machinelearnedInvested
$169.66
Value
$173
PnL
+$3.34
Record
55%
9938-8254 (18192)
BoneOhioInvested
$148.5
Value
$150
PnL
+$1.5
Record
74%
105203-37122 (142325)
Invested
$116.82
Value
$118
PnL
+$1.18
Record
66%
130972-67764 (198736)
Invested
$77.88
Value
$88
PnL
+$10.12
Record
65%
130645-70397 (201042)
Invested
$137.03
Value
$155.38
PnL
+$18.35
Record
52%
2180-1978 (4158)
Invested
$110.26
Value
$124.14
PnL
+$13.88
Record
55%
1746-1424 (3170)
Invested
$54.28
Value
$55.39
PnL
+$1.11
Record
55%
52460-42905 (95365)
Invested
$88.32
Value
$90
PnL
+$1.68
Record
75%
295-99 (394)
Invested
$21.89
Value
$22.34
PnL
+$0.45
Record
55%
50273-41876 (92149)
Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
52%
12432-11475 (23907)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
61%
46285-29472 (75757)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
55%
52018-43125 (95143)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
asdcaxz
Down — $426.39
Atomforge
Down — $342
1000monkeys
Down — $335.62
ply-pm0
Down — $174.29
machinelearned
Down — $173
BoneOhio
Down — $150
asdaefef
Down — $118
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $88
0xdc27...afdd9a
Down — $155.38
ByteBadger93
Down — $124.14