Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 80%
$3.8K
$440.03
Smart Money Signal
12 of 15 top traders (80%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atomforge | Downavg 79.9¢ | $772.74 | $966.9 | +$194.16 | 64% 5030-2825 (7855) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 86¢ | $692.43 | $664.04 | -$28.4 | 51% 12360-11859 (24219) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 86.4¢ | $423.03 | $489.46 | +$66.43 | 54% 16644-14090 (30734) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 84.8¢ | $386.36 | $455.66 | +$69.31 | 55% 9938-8254 (18192) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 80.5¢ | $279.28 | $289 | +$9.72 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 88.2¢ | $240.91 | $273.02 | +$32.11 | 50% 6436-6457 (12893) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Downavg 74.5¢ | $149.74 | $200.98 | +$51.24 | 52% 2180-1978 (4158) |
BY ByteBadger93 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $124.77 | $167.13 | +$42.36 | 55% 1746-1424 (3170) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $65.1 | $70 | +$4.9 | 58% 63507-46701 (110208) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $62.84 | $69.19 | +$6.35 | 65% 130645-70397 (201042) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489<$100 | Downavg 95.1¢ | $85.55 | $90 | +$4.45 | 75% 295-99 (394) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $14.4 | $15 | +$0.6 | 56% 60779-47271 (108050) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.1¢ | $2.11 | — | -$2.11 | 52% 12432-11475 (23907) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.1¢ | $6.42 | — | -$6.42 | 59% 63961-45114 (109075) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.9¢ | $4.68 | — | -$4.68 | 55% 52018-43125 (95143) |
AtomforgeInvested
$772.74
Value
$966.9
PnL
+$194.16
Record
64%
5030-2825 (7855)
Invested
$692.43
Value
$664.04
PnL
-$28.4
Record
51%
12360-11859 (24219)
Invested
$423.03
Value
$489.46
PnL
+$66.43
Record
54%
16644-14090 (30734)
machinelearnedInvested
$386.36
Value
$455.66
PnL
+$69.31
Record
55%
9938-8254 (18192)
Invested
$279.28
Value
$289
PnL
+$9.72
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
Invested
$240.91
Value
$273.02
PnL
+$32.11
Record
50%
6436-6457 (12893)
Invested
$149.74
Value
$200.98
PnL
+$51.24
Record
52%
2180-1978 (4158)
Invested
$124.77
Value
$167.13
PnL
+$42.36
Record
55%
1746-1424 (3170)
Invested
$65.1
Value
$70
PnL
+$4.9
Record
58%
63507-46701 (110208)
Invested
$62.84
Value
$69.19
PnL
+$6.35
Record
65%
130645-70397 (201042)
Invested
$85.55
Value
$90
PnL
+$4.45
Record
75%
295-99 (394)
Invested
$14.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.6
Record
56%
60779-47271 (108050)
Invested
$2.11
Value
—
PnL
-$2.11
Record
52%
12432-11475 (23907)
Invested
$6.42
Value
—
PnL
-$6.42
Record
59%
63961-45114 (109075)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
—
PnL
-$4.68
Record
55%
52018-43125 (95143)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Atomforge
Down — $966.9
blue.birds
Down — $664.04
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $489.46
machinelearned
Down — $455.66
asdcaxz
Down — $289
ply-pm0
Down — $273.02
0xdc27...afdd9a
Down — $200.98
ByteBadger93
Down — $167.13
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $70
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $69.19