Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 84%

Total Value

$3.9K

Combined PnL

$332.36

Smart Money Signal

27 of 33 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up27 traders

Total Value$3.9K

Total Shares3,923

Combined PnL+$378.33

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares279

Combined PnL-$45.97

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
machinelearned	Upavg 84.1¢	$493.27	$570.15	+$76.88	55% 9852-8159 (18011)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 84¢	$309.59	$352.93	+$43.35	56% 15898-12511 (28409)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 72.9¢	$334.38	$346.63	+$12.25	59% 11289-7746 (19035)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 78.6¢	$287.84	$329.04	+$41.2	50% 6373-6381 (12754)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 69.1¢	$260.61	$353.87	+$93.26	66% 101027-52913 (153940)
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 80.7¢	$584.91	$283.36	+$32.89	53% 8272-7248 (15520)
pspspsps5	Upavg 81.1¢	$224.3	$247.65	+$23.35	46% 40118-48047 (88165)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 83.6¢	$222.11	$202.09	-$20.03	54% 16571-14006 (30577)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 86.9¢	$142.04	$138.86	-$3.18	47% 6557-7261 (13818)
BO bosona	Upavg 83¢	$104.77	$123.99	+$19.22	55% 51695-42149 (93844)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 82.9¢	$105.23	$108.24	+$3.01	51% 12098-11574 (23672)
BoneOhio	Upavg 86.7¢	$86.85	$100.19	+$13.34	74% 105078-37083 (142161)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 90.6¢	$85.51	$80.94	-$4.57	57% 9923-7422 (17345)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 72¢	$72.67	$75	+$2.33	49% 4183-4283 (8466)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 79.6¢	$60.09	$74.25	+$14.16	55% 52350-42822 (95172)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Upavg 76.6¢	$92.3	$72.29	-$20.01	55% 14950-12418 (27368)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 83.6¢	$58.41	$69.85	+$11.44	55% 50160-41769 (91929)
ST stepahead<$100	Upavg 84.3¢	$87.93	$72	-$15.93	54% 10136-8487 (18623)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 75.1¢	$50.72	$67.52	+$16.8	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 82.8¢	$42.06	$50.81	+$8.75	49% 80989-84429 (165418)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 89.2¢	$32.84	$36.83	+$3.99	61% 98614-62609 (161223)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 75.5¢	$38.69	$51.26	+$12.58	65% 130293-70158 (200451)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100	Upavg 94¢	$33.1	$30	-$3.1	52% 21108-19265 (40373)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 85.9¢	$21.47	$25	+$3.53	58% 63311-46525 (109836)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 88.4¢	$22.09	$25	+$2.91	56% 60559-47106 (107665)

machinelearned

Invested

$493.27

Value

$570.15

PnL

+$76.88

Record

55%

9852-8159 (18011)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$309.59

Value

$352.93

PnL

+$43.35

Record

56%

15898-12511 (28409)

1000monkeys

Invested

$334.38

Value

$346.63

PnL

+$12.25

Record

59%

11289-7746 (19035)

ply-pm0

Invested

$287.84

Value

$329.04

PnL

+$41.2

Record

50%

6373-6381 (12754)

Bonereaper

Invested

$260.61

Value

$353.87

PnL

+$93.26

Record

66%

101027-52913 (153940)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$584.91

Value

$283.36

PnL

+$32.89

Record

53%

8272-7248 (15520)

pspspsps5

Invested

$224.3

Value

$247.65

PnL

+$23.35

Record

46%

40118-48047 (88165)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$222.11

Value

$202.09

PnL

-$20.03

Record

54%

16571-14006 (30577)

asdcaxz

Invested

$142.04

Value

$138.86

PnL

-$3.18

Record

47%

6557-7261 (13818)

bosona

Invested

$104.77

Value

$123.99

PnL

+$19.22

Record

55%

51695-42149 (93844)

blue.birds

Invested

$105.23

Value

$108.24

PnL

+$3.01

Record

51%

12098-11574 (23672)

BoneOhio

Invested

$86.85

Value

$100.19

PnL

+$13.34

Record

74%

105078-37083 (142161)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$85.51

Value

$80.94

PnL

-$4.57

Record

57%

9923-7422 (17345)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$72.67

Value

$75

PnL

+$2.33

Record

49%

4183-4283 (8466)

mo-money<$100

Invested

$60.09

Value

$74.25

PnL

+$14.16

Record

55%

52350-42822 (95172)

GoodFallen<$100

Invested

$92.3

Value

$72.29

PnL

-$20.01

Record

55%

14950-12418 (27368)

almach<$100

Invested

$58.41

Value

$69.85

PnL

+$11.44

Record

55%

50160-41769 (91929)

stepahead<$100

Invested

$87.93

Value

$72

PnL

-$15.93

Record

54%

10136-8487 (18623)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$50.72

Value

$67.52

PnL

+$16.8

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$42.06

Value

$50.81

PnL

+$8.75

Record

49%

80989-84429 (165418)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$32.84

Value

$36.83

PnL

+$3.99

Record

61%

98614-62609 (161223)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$38.69

Value

$51.26

PnL

+$12.58

Record

65%

130293-70158 (200451)

x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100

Invested

$33.1

Value

$30

PnL

-$3.1

Record

52%

21108-19265 (40373)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$21.47

Value

$25

PnL

+$3.53

Record

58%

63311-46525 (109836)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$22.09

Value

$25

PnL

+$2.91

Record

56%

60559-47106 (107665)

Smart Money Signal

27 of 33 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xda97b2f8...691e9b

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794011700

Traders in this Market

machinelearned

Up — $570.15

+$76.88

CrouchPredictions

Up — $352.93

+$43.35

1000monkeys

Up — $346.63

+$12.25

ply-pm0

Up — $329.04

+$41.2

Bonereaper

Up — $353.87

+$93.26

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $283.36

+$32.89

pspspsps5

Up — $247.65

+$23.35

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $202.09

-$20.03

asdcaxz

Up — $138.86

-$3.18

bosona

Up — $123.99

+$19.22

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