Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 78%

Total Value

$12.0K

Combined PnL

-$217.46

Smart Money Signal

34 of 43 top traders (79%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up34 traders

Total Value$12.0K

Total Shares12,010

Combined PnL+$1.0K

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares31,022

Combined PnL$-1.3K

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 93¢	$3.5K	$3.8K	+$247.62	66% 100505-52530 (153035)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 97.8¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$40.35	91% 26742-2516 (29258)
machinelearned	Upavg 83.3¢	$589.99	$708.4	+$118.41	55% 9414-7791 (17205)
pspspsps5	Upavg 96.2¢	$551.74	$573.36	+$21.62	46% 39414-46931 (86345)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 96¢	$538.36	$560.89	+$22.53	55% 50608-42054 (92662)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 73.2¢	$368.91	$503.73	+$134.82	54% 16267-13646 (29913)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 94.9¢	$490.68	$486.34	-$4.34	48% 5542-5979 (11521)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 98.4¢	$414.37	$395.32	-$19.05	63% 60039-34531 (94570)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 70.3¢	$282.02	$390.73	+$108.71	55% 14497-11865 (26362)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 73.5¢	$222.04	$302.04	+$80	51% 17458-16898 (34356)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 82.7¢	$246.48	$280.39	+$33.91	50% 6036-6024 (12060)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 70.5¢	$206.93	$271.49	+$64.56	55% 13193-10785 (23978)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 77¢	$187.76	$189.51	+$1.75	59% 10707-7370 (18077)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 94.4¢	$173.87	$184.21	+$10.34	49% 79789-83251 (163040)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 53¢	$95.02	$179.39	+$84.37	58% 39485-28519 (68004)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 83.5¢	$190.83	$169	-$21.83	53% 10098-9104 (19202)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 70.3¢	$119.71	$170.19	+$50.48	56% 8923-7003 (15926)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 72.8¢	$173.03	$160	-$13.03	67% 101382-49705 (151087)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 72.9¢	$115.01	$138.66	+$23.65	51% 11049-10545 (21594)
PB PBot-5	Upavg 89.2¢	$163.26	$127	-$36.26	52% 11801-10818 (22619)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Downavg 27.4¢	$227.27	—	-$227.27	56% 15496-12177 (27673)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$107.91	$108.01	+$0.1	59% 63420-44459 (107879)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 91.9¢	$78.72	$84.05	+$5.33	66% 129245-66642 (195887)
13 13897651CTR	Downavg 50¢	$143.62	—	-$143.62	56% 7911-6145 (14056)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 77.1¢	$49.7	$64.47	+$14.77	57% 76504-58856 (135360)

Bonereaper

Invested

$3,536.62

Value

$3.8K

PnL

+$247.62

Record

66%

100505-52530 (153035)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,781.65

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$40.35

Record

91%

26742-2516 (29258)

machinelearned

Invested

$589.99

Value

$708.4

PnL

+$118.41

Record

55%

9414-7791 (17205)

pspspsps5

Invested

$551.74

Value

$573.36

PnL

+$21.62

Record

46%

39414-46931 (86345)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$538.36

Value

$560.89

PnL

+$22.53

Record

55%

50608-42054 (92662)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$368.91

Value

$503.73

PnL

+$134.82

Record

54%

16267-13646 (29913)

asdcaxz

Invested

$490.68

Value

$486.34

PnL

-$4.34

Record

48%

5542-5979 (11521)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$414.37

Value

$395.32

PnL

-$19.05

Record

63%

60039-34531 (94570)

GoodFallen

Invested

$282.02

Value

$390.73

PnL

+$108.71

Record

55%

14497-11865 (26362)

gansinimen

Invested

$222.04

Value

$302.04

PnL

+$80

Record

51%

17458-16898 (34356)

ply-pm0

Invested

$246.48

Value

$280.39

PnL

+$33.91

Record

50%

6036-6024 (12060)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$206.93

Value

$271.49

PnL

+$64.56

Record

55%

13193-10785 (23978)

1000monkeys

Invested

$187.76

Value

$189.51

PnL

+$1.75

Record

59%

10707-7370 (18077)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$173.87

Value

$184.21

PnL

+$10.34

Record

49%

79789-83251 (163040)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$95.02

Value

$179.39

PnL

+$84.37

Record

58%

39485-28519 (68004)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$190.83

Value

$169

PnL

-$21.83

Record

53%

10098-9104 (19202)

wzbbb

Invested

$119.71

Value

$170.19

PnL

+$50.48

Record

56%

8923-7003 (15926)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$173.03

Value

$160

PnL

-$13.03

Record

67%

101382-49705 (151087)

blue.birds

Invested

$115.01

Value

$138.66

PnL

+$23.65

Record

51%

11049-10545 (21594)

PBot-5

Invested

$163.26

Value

$127

PnL

-$36.26

Record

52%

11801-10818 (22619)

CrouchPredictionsCTR

Down

Invested

$227.27

Value

—

PnL

-$227.27

Record

56%

15496-12177 (27673)

0x50f7

Invested

$107.91

Value

$108.01

PnL

+$0.1

Record

59%

63420-44459 (107879)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$78.72

Value

$84.05

PnL

+$5.33

Record

66%

129245-66642 (195887)

13897651CTR

Down

Invested

$143.62

Value

—

PnL

-$143.62

Record

56%

7911-6145 (14056)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$49.7

Value

$64.47

PnL

+$14.77

Record

57%

76504-58856 (135360)

Smart Money Signal

34 of 43 top traders (79%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6e21496f...2bc01e

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793802600

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $3.8K

+$247.62

hoodquant

Up — $1.8K

+$40.35

machinelearned

Up — $708.4

+$118.41

pspspsps5

Up — $573.36

+$21.62

MayorMamdani

Up — $560.89

+$22.53

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $503.73

+$134.82

asdcaxz

Up — $486.34

-$4.34

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $395.32

-$19.05

GoodFallen

Up — $390.73

+$108.71

gansinimen

Up — $302.04

+$80

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