Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 70%

Total Value

$45.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.9K

Smart Money Signal

30 of 48 top traders (63%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up30 traders

Total Value$45.0K

Total Shares45,028

Combined PnL+$8.5K

Down18 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares11,201

Combined PnL$-10.4K

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GA gansinimen	Upavg 55.5¢	$4.4K	$6.4K	+$1.9K	51% 17466-16901 (34367)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 47.8¢	$3.6K	$5.9K	+$2.3K	50% 6051-6038 (12089)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 76.8¢	$3.4K	$3.4K	-$48.45	66% 100522-52543 (153065)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.2K	$3.3K	+$31.32	56% 29677-23208 (52885)
BoneOhio	Upavg 93.4¢	$3.1K	$3.3K	+$194.52	74% 104341-36852 (141193)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 24.3¢	$1.3K	$3.1K	+$1.9K	57% 76529-58887 (135416)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR	Downavg 61.8¢	$3.2K	—	$-3.2K	54% 16280-13662 (29942)
GO GoodFallenCTR	Downavg 59.9¢	$2.2K	—	$-2.2K	55% 14510-11881 (26391)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 50.7¢	$1.8K	$2.0K	+$213.99	58% 39529-28562 (68091)
BO bosona	Upavg 80.5¢	$1.7K	$1.9K	+$229.3	55% 51208-41558 (92766)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.8¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$22.18	91% 26816-2525 (29341)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 47.8¢	$1.6K	$1.8K	+$135.24	52% 20826-18911 (39737)
MO mo-money	Upavg 76.5¢	$1.5K	$1.8K	+$280.58	55% 51846-42287 (94133)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 50.6¢	$1.6K	$1.7K	+$128.92	55% 13211-10796 (24007)
AL almach	Upavg 67.2¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$23.75	55% 49754-41295 (91049)
10 1000monkeysCTR	Downavg 72.2¢	$1.4K	—	$-1.4K	59% 10726-7392 (18118)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 75.4¢	$1.2K	$1.3K	+$121.61	51% 9351-8826 (18177)
NIULAI4	Upavg 72.3¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$71.94	76% 9716-3138 (12854)
PB PBot-5	Upavg 54.2¢	$724.88	$1.2K	+$502.47	52% 11825-10844 (22669)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 61.9¢	$854.29	—	-$854.29	67% 101418-49729 (151147)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 80.1¢	$804.43	$767.64	-$36.79	56% 8938-7015 (15953)
Polkadot-FrogCTR	Downavg 65¢	$669.67	—	-$669.67	63% 60080-34581 (94661)
machinelearnedCTR	Downavg 31.7¢	$638.36	—	-$638.36	55% 9429-7805 (17234)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 47.6¢	$222.86	$468.01	+$245.16	58% 51767-37809 (89576)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 93.8¢	$503.84	$403.84	-$100	55% 50671-42100 (92771)

gansinimen

Invested

$4,443.35

Value

$6.4K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

51%

17466-16901 (34367)

ply-pm0

Invested

$3,596.75

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$2.3K

Record

50%

6051-6038 (12089)

Bonereaper

Invested

$3,434.57

Value

$3.4K

PnL

-$48.45

Record

66%

100522-52543 (153065)

THG.

Invested

$3,239.68

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$31.32

Record

56%

29677-23208 (52885)

BoneOhio

Invested

$3,067.96

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$194.52

Record

74%

104341-36852 (141193)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$1,252.22

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

57%

76529-58887 (135416)

dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR

Down

Invested

$3,166.52

Value

—

PnL

$-3.2K

Record

54%

16280-13662 (29942)

GoodFallenCTR

Down

Invested

$2,160.35

Value

—

PnL

$-2.2K

Record

55%

14510-11881 (26391)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$1,805.98

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$213.99

Record

58%

39529-28562 (68091)

bosona

Invested

$1,650.45

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$229.3

Record

55%

51208-41558 (92766)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,810.82

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$22.18

Record

91%

26816-2525 (29341)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$1,635.59

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$135.24

Record

52%

20826-18911 (39737)

mo-money

Invested

$1,490.48

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$280.58

Record

55%

51846-42287 (94133)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$1,565.81

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$128.92

Record

55%

13211-10796 (24007)

almach

Invested

$1,511.62

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$23.75

Record

55%

49754-41295 (91049)

1000monkeysCTR

Down

Invested

$1,434.44

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

59%

10726-7392 (18118)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$1,176.63

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$121.61

Record

51%

9351-8826 (18177)

NIULAI4

Invested

$1,175.91

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$71.94

Record

76%

9716-3138 (12854)

PBot-5

Invested

$724.88

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$502.47

Record

52%

11825-10844 (22669)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Down

Invested

$854.29

Value

—

PnL

-$854.29

Record

67%

101418-49729 (151147)

wzbbb

Invested

$804.43

Value

$767.64

PnL

-$36.79

Record

56%

8938-7015 (15953)

Polkadot-FrogCTR

Down

Invested

$669.67

Value

—

PnL

-$669.67

Record

63%

60080-34581 (94661)

machinelearnedCTR

Down

Invested

$638.36

Value

—

PnL

-$638.36

Record

55%

9429-7805 (17234)

PBot-6

Invested

$222.86

Value

$468.01

PnL

+$245.16

Record

58%

51767-37809 (89576)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$503.84

Value

$403.84

PnL

-$100

Record

55%

50671-42100 (92771)

Smart Money Signal

30 of 48 top traders (63%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x663d070e...0bb0f3

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793803500

Traders in this Market

gansinimen

Up — $6.4K

+$1.9K

ply-pm0

Up — $5.9K

+$2.3K

Bonereaper

Up — $3.4K

-$48.45

THG.

Up — $3.3K

+$31.32

BoneOhio

Up — $3.3K

+$194.52

uninformedfloww

Up — $3.1K

+$1.9K

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $0

GoodFallen

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $2.0K

+$213.99

bosona

Up — $1.9K

+$229.3

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