Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
43
Up 62%
$6.2K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
24 of 43 top traders (56%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 64.7¢ | $1.8K | $2.0K | +$187.69 | 54% 16276-13654 (29930) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 67.4¢ | $944.79 | $980.7 | +$35.91 | 55% 14503-11876 (26379) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.2¢ | $658.42 | $670.5 | +$12.08 | 91% 26779-2517 (29296) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 67.5¢ | $549.36 | $435.11 | -$114.25 | 55% 13202-10793 (23995) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 69.9¢ | $316.73 | $377.44 | +$60.7 | 66% 100513-52538 (153051) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 65.2¢ | $400.62 | $374.4 | -$26.22 | 59% 10716-7383 (18099) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 77.3¢ | $319.53 | $326.34 | +$6.81 | 48% 5573-6007 (11580) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Downavg 36.9¢ | $469.84 | — | -$469.84 | 52% 20820-18905 (39725) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 48.9¢ | $249.63 | — | -$249.63 | 56% 7933-6165 (14098) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $101.94 | $187.68 | +$85.74 | 58% 39508-28535 (68043) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 94.7¢ | $150.55 | $155 | +$4.45 | 56% 59680-46278 (105958) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 76.3¢ | $114.47 | $150 | +$35.53 | 74% 104328-36850 (141178) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 77.9¢ | $80.38 | $99 | +$18.62 | 63% 41692-24326 (66018) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $63.15 | $84.5 | +$21.35 | 53% 10104-9114 (19218) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 17.7¢ | $182.9 | — | -$182.9 | 55% 9424-7798 (17222) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 34.5¢ | $107.93 | — | -$107.93 | 50% 6046-6032 (12078) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 71.3¢ | $71.66 | $70 | -$1.66 | 57% 12348-9335 (21683) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $45.79 | $60 | +$14.21 | 65% 128751-68998 (197749) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.4¢ | $75.74 | — | -$75.74 | 63% 60059-34551 (94610) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $46.52 | $45.01 | -$1.51 | 66% 129276-66666 (195942) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $29.09 | $39.99 | +$10.9 | 57% 76514-58860 (135374) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $25.54 | $34 | +$8.46 | 55% 50634-42081 (92715) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $30 | $31.23 | +$1.23 | 58% 62279-45653 (107932) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 81.4¢ | $44.58 | $30.79 | -$13.79 | 56% 8932-7009 (15941) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658CTR | Downavg 39.7¢ | $124.6 | — | -$124.6 | 51% 9345-8820 (18165) |
Invested
$1,817.07
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$187.69
Record
54%
16276-13654 (29930)
Invested
$944.79
Value
$980.7
PnL
+$35.91
Record
55%
14503-11876 (26379)
Invested
$658.42
Value
$670.5
PnL
+$12.08
Record
91%
26779-2517 (29296)
FairValueMachineInvested
$549.36
Value
$435.11
PnL
-$114.25
Record
55%
13202-10793 (23995)
Invested
$316.73
Value
$377.44
PnL
+$60.7
Record
66%
100513-52538 (153051)
Invested
$400.62
Value
$374.4
PnL
-$26.22
Record
59%
10716-7383 (18099)
Invested
$319.53
Value
$326.34
PnL
+$6.81
Record
48%
5573-6007 (11580)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$469.84
Value
—
PnL
-$469.84
Record
52%
20820-18905 (39725)
Invested
$249.63
Value
—
PnL
-$249.63
Record
56%
7933-6165 (14098)
Invested
$101.94
Value
$187.68
PnL
+$85.74
Record
58%
39508-28535 (68043)
Invested
$150.55
Value
$155
PnL
+$4.45
Record
56%
59680-46278 (105958)
BoneOhioInvested
$114.47
Value
$150
PnL
+$35.53
Record
74%
104328-36850 (141178)
ohioism<$100Invested
$80.38
Value
$99
PnL
+$18.62
Record
63%
41692-24326 (66018)
Invested
$63.15
Value
$84.5
PnL
+$21.35
Record
53%
10104-9114 (19218)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$182.9
Value
—
PnL
-$182.9
Record
55%
9424-7798 (17222)
Invested
$107.93
Value
—
PnL
-$107.93
Record
50%
6046-6032 (12078)
Invested
$71.66
Value
$70
PnL
-$1.66
Record
57%
12348-9335 (21683)
Invested
$45.79
Value
$60
PnL
+$14.21
Record
65%
128751-68998 (197749)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$75.74
Value
—
PnL
-$75.74
Record
63%
60059-34551 (94610)
Invested
$46.52
Value
$45.01
PnL
-$1.51
Record
66%
129276-66666 (195942)
Invested
$29.09
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$10.9
Record
57%
76514-58860 (135374)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$25.54
Value
$34
PnL
+$8.46
Record
55%
50634-42081 (92715)
Invested
$30
Value
$31.23
PnL
+$1.23
Record
58%
62279-45653 (107932)
Invested
$44.58
Value
$30.79
PnL
-$13.79
Record
56%
8932-7009 (15941)
Invested
$124.6
Value
—
PnL
-$124.6
Record
51%
9345-8820 (18165)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $2.0K
GoodFallen
Up — $980.7
hoodquant
Up — $670.5
FairValueMachine
Up — $435.11
Bonereaper
Up — $377.44
1000monkeys
Up — $374.4
asdcaxz
Up — $326.34
x-MoneyForWhiskas
CTRDown — $0
13897651
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $187.68