Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 87%

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

$51.39

Smart Money Signal

Down

33 of 42 top traders (79%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down33 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares7,024

Combined PnL+$319.24

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,130

Combined PnL-$267.86

Down — 79%Up — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.4¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$18.12	91% 26779-2517 (29296)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 78.2¢	$681.54	$687.02	+$5.47	54% 16276-13654 (29930)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 78.9¢	$658.62	$556.49	-$102.13	66% 100513-52538 (153051)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 88.9¢	$561.58	$551	-$10.58	48% 5573-6007 (11580)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 52.1¢	$250.04	$479.47	+$229.43	58% 39508-28535 (68043)
10 1000monkeys	Downavg 78.4¢	$411.71	$430.79	+$19.08	59% 10716-7383 (18099)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 90.1¢	$487.64	$384.08	-$103.56	63% 60059-34551 (94610)
GA gansinimen	Downavg 79.9¢	$336.62	$362.5	+$25.88	51% 17461-16899 (34360)
machinelearned	Downavg 82.8¢	$314.37	$331.27	+$16.9	55% 9424-7798 (17222)
ohioism	Downavg 84.3¢	$260.72	$306.98	+$46.27	63% 41692-24326 (66018)
MayorMamdani	Downavg 91.9¢	$273.74	$298	+$24.26	55% 50634-42081 (92715)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 78.9¢	$185.43	$208.82	+$23.39	56% 8932-7009 (15941)
13 13897651	Downavg 53.1¢	$153.45	$187.24	+$33.79	56% 7933-6165 (14098)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 84.1¢	$168.93	$169.48	+$0.55	50% 6046-6032 (12078)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 86.7¢	$163.04	$144.22	-$18.82	55% 14503-11876 (26379)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR	Upavg 17.2¢	$218.34	—	-$218.34	52% 20820-18905 (39725)
PB PBot-5	Downavg 63.2¢	$63.91	$101.09	+$37.18	52% 11814-10830 (22644)
FairValueMachine	Downavg 85.4¢	$99.39	$100	+$0.61	55% 13202-10793 (23995)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100	Downavg 76.3¢	$76.11	$99.76	+$23.65	51% 9345-8820 (18165)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Downavg 86.3¢	$85.64	$90.74	+$5.1	57% 12348-9335 (21683)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 87.2¢	$77.43	$80.31	+$2.89	66% 129276-66666 (195942)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 86.3¢	$58.27	$52.38	+$6.32	61% 97755-61856 (159611)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 87.8¢	$39.86	$45.4	+$5.55	52% 93062-87484 (180546)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Downavg 85.6¢	$34.36	$40.13	+$5.76	12% 18560-133902 (152462)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Downavg 80.6¢	$40	$35	-$5	29% 11455-27656 (39111)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$1,108.01

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$18.12

Record

91%

26779-2517 (29296)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$681.54

Value

$687.02

PnL

+$5.47

Record

54%

16276-13654 (29930)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$658.62

Value

$556.49

PnL

-$102.13

Record

66%

100513-52538 (153051)

asdcaxz

Down

Invested

$561.58

Value

$551

PnL

-$10.58

Record

48%

5573-6007 (11580)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$250.04

Value

$479.47

PnL

+$229.43

Record

58%

39508-28535 (68043)

1000monkeys

Down

Invested

$411.71

Value

$430.79

PnL

+$19.08

Record

59%

10716-7383 (18099)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$487.64

Value

$384.08

PnL

-$103.56

Record

63%

60059-34551 (94610)

gansinimen

Down

Invested

$336.62

Value

$362.5

PnL

+$25.88

Record

51%

17461-16899 (34360)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$314.37

Value

$331.27

PnL

+$16.9

Record

55%

9424-7798 (17222)

ohioism

Down

Invested

$260.72

Value

$306.98

PnL

+$46.27

Record

63%

41692-24326 (66018)

MayorMamdani

Down

Invested

$273.74

Value

$298

PnL

+$24.26

Record

55%

50634-42081 (92715)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$185.43

Value

$208.82

PnL

+$23.39

Record

56%

8932-7009 (15941)

13897651

Down

Invested

$153.45

Value

$187.24

PnL

+$33.79

Record

56%

7933-6165 (14098)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$168.93

Value

$169.48

PnL

+$0.55

Record

50%

6046-6032 (12078)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$163.04

Value

$144.22

PnL

-$18.82

Record

55%

14503-11876 (26379)

x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR

Invested

$218.34

Value

—

PnL

-$218.34

Record

52%

20820-18905 (39725)

PBot-5

Down

Invested

$63.91

Value

$101.09

PnL

+$37.18

Record

52%

11814-10830 (22644)

FairValueMachine

Down

Invested

$99.39

Value

$100

PnL

+$0.61

Record

55%

13202-10793 (23995)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100

Down

Invested

$76.11

Value

$99.76

PnL

+$23.65

Record

51%

9345-8820 (18165)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Down

Invested

$85.64

Value

$90.74

PnL

+$5.1

Record

57%

12348-9335 (21683)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$77.43

Value

$80.31

PnL

+$2.89

Record

66%

129276-66666 (195942)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$58.27

Value

$52.38

PnL

+$6.32

Record

61%

97755-61856 (159611)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$39.86

Value

$45.4

PnL

+$5.55

Record

52%

93062-87484 (180546)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Down

Invested

$34.36

Value

$40.13

PnL

+$5.76

Record

12%

18560-133902 (152462)

Hcrystallash<$100

Down

Invested

$40

Value

$35

PnL

-$5

Record

29%

11455-27656 (39111)

Smart Money Signal

Down

33 of 42 top traders (79%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x64c632ae...30e819

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793799000

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $1.1K

+$18.12

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $687.02

+$5.47

Bonereaper

Down — $556.49

-$102.13

asdcaxz

Down — $551

-$10.58

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $479.47

+$229.43

1000monkeys

Down — $430.79

+$19.08

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $384.08

-$103.56

gansinimen

Down — $362.5

+$25.88

machinelearned

Down — $331.27

+$16.9

ohioism

Down — $306.98

+$46.27

Trade on Polymarket