Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 73%

Total Value

$4.4K

Combined PnL

$3.06

Smart Money Signal

Down

32 of 43 top traders (74%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down32 traders

Total Value$4.4K

Total Shares4,415

Combined PnL+$343.88

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares878

Combined PnL-$340.82

Down — 74%Up — 26%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 90.8¢	$515.33	$526.94	+$11.61	26% 8828-25270 (34098)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 68¢	$391.53	$369.08	-$22.45	56% 15034-11798 (26832)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Downavg 84.8¢	$326.87	$356.96	+$30.09	52% 7466-6907 (14373)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 54.8¢	$223.76	$324.79	+$101.03	55% 15877-13227 (29104)
machinelearned	Downavg 73.2¢	$227.34	$303.55	+$76.21	55% 9075-7493 (16568)
ST stepahead	Downavg 72.6¢	$338.85	$301.95	-$36.9	55% 6956-5737 (12693)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 82.7¢	$313.2	$301.91	-$11.29	50% 5689-5742 (11431)
10 1000monkeys	Downavg 79.5¢	$306.06	$278.58	-$27.48	60% 7769-5075 (12844)
BL blue.birds	Downavg 87.9¢	$301.58	$276.12	-$25.46	51% 4742-4529 (9271)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 90.2¢	$200.37	$212.35	+$11.98	60% 12690-8437 (21127)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Downavg 94¢	$190.82	$203	+$12.18	52% 13068-11882 (24950)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 90¢	$182.63	$200	+$17.37	47% 1919-2173 (4092)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Downavg 92.3¢	$103.94	$112.63	+$8.69	55% 18827-15394 (34221)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Downavg 52¢	$72.99	$101.5	+$28.51	52% 7420-6923 (14343)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Downavg 51¢	$71.26	$101.5	+$30.24	65% 15090-8108 (23198)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 63.1¢	$90.74	—	-$90.74	59% 7189-5066 (12255)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 42.4¢	$51.78	$122	+$70.22	56% 8542-6643 (15185)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Downavg 37¢	$28.6	$40	+$11.4	50% 37301-36743 (74044)
ST std0<$100	Downavg 95.3¢	$44.58	$40	-$4.58	67% 53283-26686 (79969)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Upavg 36.1¢	$42.59	—	-$42.59	56% 14120-11224 (25344)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 66.7¢	$31.68	$34.96	+$10.72	64% 25745-14302 (40047)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 79.5¢	$23.84	$29.99	+$6.15	56% 58877-45483 (104360)
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359CTR<$100	Upavg 21.9¢	$45.09	—	-$45.09	52% 7507-7015 (14522)
OhioAI<$100	Downavg 51.9¢	$25.94	$50	+$24.06	54% 8394-7202 (15596)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$25	—	-$25	58% 51458-37518 (88976)

Hcrystallash

Down

Invested

$515.33

Value

$526.94

PnL

+$11.61

Record

26%

8828-25270 (34098)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$391.53

Value

$369.08

PnL

-$22.45

Record

56%

15034-11798 (26832)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Down

Invested

$326.87

Value

$356.96

PnL

+$30.09

Record

52%

7466-6907 (14373)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$223.76

Value

$324.79

PnL

+$101.03

Record

55%

15877-13227 (29104)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$227.34

Value

$303.55

PnL

+$76.21

Record

55%

9075-7493 (16568)

stepahead

Down

Invested

$338.85

Value

$301.95

PnL

-$36.9

Record

55%

6956-5737 (12693)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$313.2

Value

$301.91

PnL

-$11.29

Record

50%

5689-5742 (11431)

1000monkeys

Down

Invested

$306.06

Value

$278.58

PnL

-$27.48

Record

60%

7769-5075 (12844)

blue.birds

Down

Invested

$301.58

Value

$276.12

PnL

-$25.46

Record

51%

4742-4529 (9271)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$200.37

Value

$212.35

PnL

+$11.98

Record

60%

12690-8437 (21127)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Down

Invested

$190.82

Value

$203

PnL

+$12.18

Record

52%

13068-11882 (24950)

asdcaxz

Down

Invested

$182.63

Value

$200

PnL

+$17.37

Record

47%

1919-2173 (4092)

Kathod-Shi-14

Down

Invested

$103.94

Value

$112.63

PnL

+$8.69

Record

55%

18827-15394 (34221)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Down

Invested

$72.99

Value

$101.5

PnL

+$28.51

Record

52%

7420-6923 (14343)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Down

Invested

$71.26

Value

$101.5

PnL

+$30.24

Record

65%

15090-8108 (23198)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$90.74

Value

—

PnL

-$90.74

Record

59%

7189-5066 (12255)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$51.78

Value

$122

PnL

+$70.22

Record

56%

8542-6643 (15185)

Alpharo28<$100

Down

Invested

$28.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$11.4

Record

50%

37301-36743 (74044)

std0<$100

Down

Invested

$44.58

Value

$40

PnL

-$4.58

Record

67%

53283-26686 (79969)

GoodFallenCTR<$100

Invested

$42.59

Value

—

PnL

-$42.59

Record

56%

14120-11224 (25344)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$31.68

Value

$34.96

PnL

+$10.72

Record

64%

25745-14302 (40047)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Down

Invested

$23.84

Value

$29.99

PnL

+$6.15

Record

56%

58877-45483 (104360)

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359CTR<$100

Invested

$45.09

Value

—

PnL

-$45.09

Record

52%

7507-7015 (14522)

OhioAI<$100

Down

Invested

$25.94

Value

$50

PnL

+$24.06

Record

54%

8394-7202 (15596)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Invested

$25

Value

—

PnL

-$25

Record

58%

51458-37518 (88976)

Smart Money Signal

Down

32 of 43 top traders (74%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x8ee5984e...47542d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793615700

Traders in this Market

Hcrystallash

Down — $526.94

+$11.61

CrouchPredictions

Down — $369.08

-$22.45

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Down — $356.96

+$30.09

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $324.79

+$101.03

machinelearned

Down — $303.55

+$76.21

stepahead

Down — $301.95

-$36.9

ply-pm0

Down — $301.91

-$11.29

1000monkeys

Down — $278.58

-$27.48

blue.birds

Down — $276.12

-$25.46

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $212.35

+$11.98

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