Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 69%
$952.08
-$215.42
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 61.3¢ | $396.2 | $420.32 | +$24.12 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 83¢ | $120.11 | $88 | -$32.11 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $104.93 | $86.11 | -$18.81 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $62.28 | $76.45 | +$14.17 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 47¢ | $56.4 | $120 | +$63.6 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $72.13 | $59.96 | -$12.17 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.6¢ | $96.07 | — | -$96.07 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 85.1¢ | $23.37 | $27.47 | +$4.1 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $20.5 | $25 | +$4.5 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 93.9¢ | $21.11 | $22.47 | +$1.36 | 65% 4332-2383 (6715) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.3¢ | $41.54 | — | -$41.54 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $14.35 | $21.3 | +$6.95 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $5.9 | — | -$5.9 | 59% 7083-4987 (12070) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $4.2 | $5 | +$0.8 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.1¢ | $32.21 | — | -$32.21 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $96.2 | — | -$96.2 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20375-19462 (39837) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$396.2
Value
$420.32
PnL
+$24.12
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
Invested
$120.11
Value
$88
PnL
-$32.11
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$104.93
Value
$86.11
PnL
-$18.81
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
Invested
$62.28
Value
$76.45
PnL
+$14.17
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
Invested
$56.4
Value
$120
PnL
+$63.6
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
Invested
$72.13
Value
$59.96
PnL
-$12.17
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$96.07
Value
—
PnL
-$96.07
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Invested
$23.37
Value
$27.47
PnL
+$4.1
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.5
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$21.11
Value
$22.47
PnL
+$1.36
Record
65%
4332-2383 (6715)
Invested
$41.54
Value
—
PnL
-$41.54
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
Invested
$14.35
Value
$21.3
PnL
+$6.95
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$5.9
Value
—
PnL
-$5.9
Record
59%
7083-4987 (12070)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.8
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
Invested
$32.21
Value
—
PnL
-$32.21
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$96.2
Value
—
PnL
-$96.2
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20375-19462 (39837)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $420.32
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $88
sfkjbsr457
Up — $86.11
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $76.45
wzbbb
Up — $120
aaa221
Up — $59.96
machinelearned
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $27.47
ohioism
Up — $25
Atomforge
Up — $22.47