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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

25

Down 58%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$12.42

Smart Money Signal

Down

14 of 25 top traders (56%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down14 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,497
Combined PnL+$284.89
Up11 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares620
Combined PnL-$272.47
Down — 56%Up — 44%
CR
CrouchPredictions
Down

Invested

$257.92

Value

$356.54

PnL

+$98.62

Record

56%

14912-11721 (26633)

PL
ply-pm0
Down

Invested

$232.66

Value

$258.57

PnL

+$25.91

Record

50%

5579-5642 (11221)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down

Invested

$220.51

Value

$215.96

PnL

-$4.56

Record

55%

7784-6369 (14153)

SF
sfkjbsr457
Down

Invested

$140.66

Value

$157.18

PnL

+$16.52

Record

54%

8332-7022 (15354)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down

Invested

$126.16

Value

$154.12

PnL

+$31.86

Record

60%

12577-8352 (20929)

0X
0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$63.42

Value

—

PnL

-$63.42

Record

63%

1791-1051 (2842)

machinelearned<$100
Down

Invested

$41.51

Value

$75

PnL

+$33.49

Record

55%

8959-7393 (16352)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$60.9

Value

—

PnL

-$60.9

Record

35%

19115-36121 (55236)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$29.39

Value

$43.09

PnL

+$13.7

Record

65%

112557-59402 (171959)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$42

Value

—

PnL

-$42

Record

62%

44272-27256 (71528)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$33.26

Value

$55.1

PnL

+$21.84

Record

64%

24852-13722 (38574)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$42.13

Value

$46.1

PnL

+$3.97

Record

66%

127086-65386 (192472)

WZ
wzbbbCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$33

Value

—

PnL

-$33

Record

56%

8338-6477 (14815)

SI
sir-upalot<$100
Down

Invested

$26.64

Value

$34.25

PnL

+$7.6

Record

55%

24171-19504 (43675)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$23.2

Value

$37.96

PnL

+$14.76

Record

55%

18359-14947 (33306)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$21

Value

$25

PnL

+$4

Record

64%

40631-23312 (63943)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$16.5

Value

$29.99

PnL

+$13.5

Record

59%

7083-4987 (12070)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.78

Value

—

PnL

-$9.78

Record

52%

91299-85747 (177046)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.04

Value

—

PnL

-$9.04

Record

46%

38661-45750 (84411)

AtomforgeCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.14

Value

—

PnL

-$11.14

Record

64%

4319-2379 (6698)

PA
Parad0X<$100
Down

Invested

$4.48

Value

$8.15

PnL

+$3.67

Record

56%

2300-1792 (4092)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6

Value

—

PnL

-$6

Record

61%

96025-60531 (156556)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$35.95

Value

—

PnL

-$35.95

Record

56%

58622-45278 (103900)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.24

Value

—

PnL

-$1.24

Record

58%

61075-44602 (105677)

AR
arcsine-barristerCTR<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

3698-2861 (6559)