Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 77%
$2.3K
-$171.2
Smart Money Signal
18 of 23 top traders (78%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 47.6¢ | $718.9 | $761 | +$42.1 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 51.9¢ | $319.24 | $336.03 | +$16.79 | 50% 5579-5642 (11221) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 70.6¢ | $265.01 | $305.8 | +$40.79 | 74% 103036-36547 (139583) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 67.5¢ | $206.65 | $211.27 | +$4.62 | 55% 8959-7393 (16352) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Upavg 34.8¢ | $194.51 | — | -$194.51 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 57.7¢ | $171.81 | $171.06 | -$0.75 | 60% 12577-8352 (20929) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.6¢ | $80.3 | — | -$80.3 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 67.8¢ | $99.86 | $116.93 | +$17.08 | 55% 7784-6369 (14153) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $97.98 | $88.64 | +$5.93 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.1¢ | $46.18 | — | -$46.18 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95.6¢ | $59.4 | $62.14 | +$2.74 | 65% 126430-67579 (194009) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 93.6¢ | $42.17 | $45.07 | +$2.9 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 72.8¢ | $29.18 | $40.08 | +$10.9 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $26.73 | $47.25 | +$20.52 | 59% 7083-4987 (12070) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 65.6¢ | $31.04 | $47.31 | +$16.27 | 35% 19115-36121 (55236) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $20.9 | $30 | +$9.1 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $24.25 | $25.26 | +$1.01 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $4.75 | $10 | +$5.25 | 56% 8338-6477 (14815) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.8¢ | $46.35 | — | -$46.35 | 59% 62663-43746 (106409) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $5.76 | $6 | +$0.24 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2.7 | $6.76 | +$4.06 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 55% 24171-19504 (43675) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$718.9
Value
$761
PnL
+$42.1
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$319.24
Value
$336.03
PnL
+$16.79
Record
50%
5579-5642 (11221)
BoneOhioInvested
$265.01
Value
$305.8
PnL
+$40.79
Record
74%
103036-36547 (139583)
machinelearnedInvested
$206.65
Value
$211.27
PnL
+$4.62
Record
55%
8959-7393 (16352)
Invested
$194.51
Value
—
PnL
-$194.51
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
Invested
$171.81
Value
$171.06
PnL
-$0.75
Record
60%
12577-8352 (20929)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$80.3
Value
—
PnL
-$80.3
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
Invested
$99.86
Value
$116.93
PnL
+$17.08
Record
55%
7784-6369 (14153)
Invested
$97.98
Value
$88.64
PnL
+$5.93
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$46.18
Value
—
PnL
-$46.18
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
$59.4
Value
$62.14
PnL
+$2.74
Record
65%
126430-67579 (194009)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$42.17
Value
$45.07
PnL
+$2.9
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$29.18
Value
$40.08
PnL
+$10.9
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
Invested
$26.73
Value
$47.25
PnL
+$20.52
Record
59%
7083-4987 (12070)
Invested
$31.04
Value
$47.31
PnL
+$16.27
Record
35%
19115-36121 (55236)
Invested
$20.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$9.1
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
ohioism<$100Invested
$24.25
Value
$25.26
PnL
+$1.01
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.25
Record
56%
8338-6477 (14815)
Invested
$46.35
Value
—
PnL
-$46.35
Record
59%
62663-43746 (106409)
Invested
$5.76
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.24
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$2.7
Value
$6.76
PnL
+$4.06
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
55%
24171-19504 (43675)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $761
ply-pm0
Down — $336.03
BoneOhio
Down — $305.8
machinelearned
Down — $211.27
sfkjbsr457
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $171.06
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $116.93
aaa221
Down — $88.64
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0