Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 72%

Total Value

$15.4K

Combined PnL

-$698.33

Smart Money Signal

31 of 43 top traders (72%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up31 traders

Total Value$15.4K

Total Shares15,427

Combined PnL+$365.96

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,765

Combined PnL$-1.1K

Up — 72%Down — 28%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 63¢	$4.4K	$4.2K	-$197.12	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
KA KARIZMATIKU	Upavg 49.5¢	$1.1K	$2.3K	+$1.1K	15% 27-154 (181)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 87.1¢	$1.8K	$1.5K	-$276.91	46% 968-1122 (2090)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$11.34	98% 3543-73 (3616)
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 42.5¢	$635.02	$734.01	+$128.18	50% 480-487 (967)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 65.5¢	$599.79	$609.44	+$9.65	52% 2153-1992 (4145)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 99¢	$609.91	$613	+$3.29	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 70.1¢	$368.16	$505.13	+$144.33	58% 3585-2599 (6184)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 82.9¢	$510.68	$494.99	+$7.05	51% 817-778 (1595)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 51¢	$529.82	$492.56	-$2.82	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
ST stepahead	Upavg 58¢	$484.51	$488.89	+$4.37	55% 4364-3577 (7941)
HC HcrystallashCTR	Downavg 37.7¢	$627.9	—	-$625.4	58% 4958-3625 (8583)
MO mo-money	Upavg 99.7¢	$940.8	$349.97	-$313.24	50% 1342-1353 (2695)
gabigol	Upavg 96.5¢	$333.37	$343.12	+$9.75	48% 251-271 (522)
AL almach	Upavg 96.9¢	$1.8K	$275.6	-$360.14	50% 1354-1329 (2683)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 76.8¢	$200.25	$260.58	+$60.33	42% 280-380 (660)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 66.2¢	$238.4	$255.82	+$17.42	47% 2083-2336 (4419)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 56.3¢	$230.26	$228.33	-$1.93	49% 861-889 (1750)
LI Little-big	Upavg 47.4¢	$186.48	$198.28	+$59.99	51% 947-894 (1841)
BO bosona	Upavg 98.2¢	$731.1	$94.29	-$146.65	51% 4599-4456 (9055)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 54.1¢	$27.06	$50	+$22.94	50% 1846-1828 (3674)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$80.26	—	-$80.26	71% 1551-630 (2181)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 24.9¢	$78.01	—	-$48.61	50% 4343-4417 (8760)
AL Alpharo28CTR	Downavg 47.6¢	$160.4	—	-$85.1	56% 242-193 (435)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 94.1¢	$38.57	$33.1	-$4.87	67% 3285-1642 (4927)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$4,417.32

Value

$4.2K

PnL

-$197.12

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

KARIZMATIKU

Invested

$1,122

Value

$2.3K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

15%

27-154 (181)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,821.4

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$276.91

Record

46%

968-1122 (2090)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,110.71

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$11.34

Record

98%

3543-73 (3616)

aswfadq1555

Invested

$635.02

Value

$734.01

PnL

+$128.18

Record

50%

480-487 (967)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$599.79

Value

$609.44

PnL

+$9.65

Record

52%

2153-1992 (4145)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$609.91

Value

$613

PnL

+$3.29

Record

42%

1609-2196 (3805)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$368.16

Value

$505.13

PnL

+$144.33

Record

58%

3585-2599 (6184)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$510.68

Value

$494.99

PnL

+$7.05

Record

51%

817-778 (1595)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$529.82

Value

$492.56

PnL

-$2.82

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

stepahead

Invested

$484.51

Value

$488.89

PnL

+$4.37

Record

55%

4364-3577 (7941)

HcrystallashCTR

Down

Invested

$627.9

Value

—

PnL

-$625.4

Record

58%

4958-3625 (8583)

mo-money

Invested

$940.8

Value

$349.97

PnL

-$313.24

Record

50%

1342-1353 (2695)

gabigol

Invested

$333.37

Value

$343.12

PnL

+$9.75

Record

48%

251-271 (522)

almach

Invested

$1,801.27

Value

$275.6

PnL

-$360.14

Record

50%

1354-1329 (2683)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$200.25

Value

$260.58

PnL

+$60.33

Record

42%

280-380 (660)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$238.4

Value

$255.82

PnL

+$17.42

Record

47%

2083-2336 (4419)

peepeepoopoo24

Invested

$230.26

Value

$228.33

PnL

-$1.93

Record

49%

861-889 (1750)

Little-big

Invested

$186.48

Value

$198.28

PnL

+$59.99

Record

51%

947-894 (1841)

bosona

Invested

$731.1

Value

$94.29

PnL

-$146.65

Record

51%

4599-4456 (9055)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$27.06

Value

$50

PnL

+$22.94

Record

50%

1846-1828 (3674)

BoneOhioCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$80.26

Value

—

PnL

-$80.26

Record

71%

1551-630 (2181)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$78.01

Value

—

PnL

-$48.61

Record

50%

4343-4417 (8760)

Alpharo28CTR

Down

Invested

$160.4

Value

—

PnL

-$85.1

Record

56%

242-193 (435)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$38.57

Value

$33.1

PnL

-$4.87

Record

67%

3285-1642 (4927)

Smart Money Signal

31 of 43 top traders (72%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5d5b15c7...56332b

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794670200

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $4.2K

-$197.12

KARIZMATIKU

Up — $2.3K

+$1.1K

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.5K

-$276.91

hoodquant

Up — $1.1K

+$11.34

aswfadq1555

Up — $734.01

+$128.18

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $609.44

+$9.65

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $613

+$3.29

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $505.13

+$144.33

EZTRADENL2

Up — $494.99

+$7.05

ByteBadger92

Up — $492.56

-$2.82

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