Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 63%
$3.9K
-$905.5
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $892.13 | $902.4 | +$10.27 | 98% 1837-39 (1876) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 67.6¢ | $688.06 | $648.1 | +$0.48 | 53% 1080-957 (2037) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 66.6¢ | $463.25 | $618.5 | +$155.25 | 46% 495-586 (1081) |
BO bosona | Downavg 33.3¢ | $182.42 | $359.57 | +$177.14 | 50% 3845-3861 (7706) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 41.9¢ | $264.07 | $363.04 | +$99.15 | 57% 4377-3250 (7627) |
AL almach | Downavg 44¢ | $174.19 | $326.67 | +$152.48 | 46% 613-725 (1338) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 28.8¢ | $517.47 | — | -$442.23 | 50% 1263-1254 (2517) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 44¢ | $153.65 | $298.27 | +$144.62 | 45% 619-745 (1364) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 50.1¢ | $233.25 | $248.42 | +$15.17 | 54% 3749-3148 (6897) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $30.05 | — | -$30.05 | 52% 3739-3509 (7248) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $30.6 | $30 | -$0.6 | 60% 2597-1705 (4302) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $19.18 | $40.58 | +$21.4 | 55% 650-530 (1180) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $9.65 | — | -$9.65 | 48% 962-1040 (2002) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 44.2¢ | $16.1 | $30 | +$13.9 | 44% 945-1197 (2142) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $4.6 | $10 | +$5.4 | 58% 1948-1427 (3375) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 48% 575-634 (1209) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 69.8¢ | $702 | — | -$702 | 49% 706-726 (1432) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 73.8¢ | $343.2 | — | -$343.2 | 37% 435-728 (1163) |
KA KARIZMATIKUCTR | Upavg 48.8¢ | $169.54 | — | -$169.54 | 6% 8-134 (142) |
Invested
$892.13
Value
$902.4
PnL
+$10.27
Record
98%
1837-39 (1876)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$688.06
Value
$648.1
PnL
+$0.48
Record
53%
1080-957 (2037)
Invested
$463.25
Value
$618.5
PnL
+$155.25
Record
46%
495-586 (1081)
Invested
$182.42
Value
$359.57
PnL
+$177.14
Record
50%
3845-3861 (7706)
Invested
$264.07
Value
$363.04
PnL
+$99.15
Record
57%
4377-3250 (7627)
Invested
$174.19
Value
$326.67
PnL
+$152.48
Record
46%
613-725 (1338)
Invested
$517.47
Value
—
PnL
-$442.23
Record
50%
1263-1254 (2517)
Invested
$153.65
Value
$298.27
PnL
+$144.62
Record
45%
619-745 (1364)
Invested
$233.25
Value
$248.42
PnL
+$15.17
Record
54%
3749-3148 (6897)
Invested
$30.05
Value
—
PnL
-$30.05
Record
52%
3739-3509 (7248)
Invested
$30.6
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.6
Record
60%
2597-1705 (4302)
Invested
$19.18
Value
$40.58
PnL
+$21.4
Record
55%
650-530 (1180)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.65
Value
—
PnL
-$9.65
Record
48%
962-1040 (2002)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$16.1
Value
$30
PnL
+$13.9
Record
44%
945-1197 (2142)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.4
Record
58%
1948-1427 (3375)
Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
48%
575-634 (1209)
Invested
$702
Value
—
PnL
-$702
Record
49%
706-726 (1432)
Invested
$343.2
Value
—
PnL
-$343.2
Record
37%
435-728 (1163)
Invested
$169.54
Value
—
PnL
-$169.54
Record
6%
8-134 (142)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $902.4
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $648.1
CrouchPredictions
Down — $618.5
bosona
Down — $359.57
Hcrystallash
Down — $363.04
almach
Down — $326.67
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
mo-money
Down — $298.27
stepahead
Down — $248.42
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0