Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 46%
$5.0K
$-2.3K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 24 top traders (46%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 68.4¢ | $2.4K | $2.1K | -$337.14 | 50% 1138-1119 (2257) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.2¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$27.92 | 98% 1669-36 (1705) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 61.6¢ | $748.36 | $743.69 | -$4.67 | 53% 990-886 (1876) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 39.2¢ | $536.86 | — | -$536.86 | 45% 448-543 (991) |
BO bosona | Downavg 99¢ | $390.72 | $271.92 | -$118.8 | 50% 3782-3804 (7586) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Upavg 39.2¢ | $174.88 | — | -$174.88 | 54% 3693-3108 (6801) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Upavg 19.9¢ | $248.72 | — | -$169.06 | 57% 4314-3222 (7536) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $85.49 | $89.99 | +$4.5 | 52% 3623-3395 (7018) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 66.9¢ | $116.86 | $89.25 | -$5.1 | 60% 2553-1668 (4221) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $20 | $40 | +$20 | 44% 852-1098 (1950) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $17.5 | $35 | +$17.5 | 49% 3321-3438 (6759) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $15.25 | $25 | +$9.75 | 48% 876-948 (1824) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $10.8 | $20 | +$9.2 | 61% 1823-1148 (2971) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $16.54 | $15.2 | -$1.34 | 65% 1606-846 (2452) |
AL almachCTR | Upavg 29.3¢ | $170.4 | — | -$170.4 | 45% 555-665 (1220) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Upavg 30.1¢ | $161.9 | — | -$161.9 | 45% 561-685 (1246) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $88.92 | — | -$88.92 | 48% 1352-1466 (2818) |
SI SingWCTR | Upavg 29.5¢ | $308.99 | — | -$308.99 | 13% 11-77 (88) |
NO notfairplayCTR | Upavg 46.6¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | 26% 11-32 (43) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.4¢ | $9.35 | — | -$9.35 | 67% 1646-799 (2445) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.9¢ | $21.45 | — | +$1.59 | 57% 1748-1293 (3041) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.7¢ | $88.75 | — | -$88.75 | 34% 165-323 (488) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $5.07 | — | -$5.07 | 55% 581-483 (1064) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 47% 515-579 (1094) |
Invested
$2,399.17
Value
$2.1K
PnL
-$337.14
Record
50%
1138-1119 (2257)
Invested
$1,553.08
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$27.92
Record
98%
1669-36 (1705)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$748.36
Value
$743.69
PnL
-$4.67
Record
53%
990-886 (1876)
Invested
$536.86
Value
—
PnL
-$536.86
Record
45%
448-543 (991)
Invested
$390.72
Value
$271.92
PnL
-$118.8
Record
50%
3782-3804 (7586)
Invested
$174.88
Value
—
PnL
-$174.88
Record
54%
3693-3108 (6801)
Invested
$248.72
Value
—
PnL
-$169.06
Record
57%
4314-3222 (7536)
Invested
$85.49
Value
$89.99
PnL
+$4.5
Record
52%
3623-3395 (7018)
Invested
$116.86
Value
$89.25
PnL
-$5.1
Record
60%
2553-1668 (4221)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$20
Value
$40
PnL
+$20
Record
44%
852-1098 (1950)
Invested
$17.5
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.5
Record
49%
3321-3438 (6759)
ohioism<$100Invested
$15.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$9.75
Record
48%
876-948 (1824)
Invested
$10.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.2
Record
61%
1823-1148 (2971)
Invested
$16.54
Value
$15.2
PnL
-$1.34
Record
65%
1606-846 (2452)
Invested
$170.4
Value
—
PnL
-$170.4
Record
45%
555-665 (1220)
Invested
$161.9
Value
—
PnL
-$161.9
Record
45%
561-685 (1246)
Invested
$88.92
Value
—
PnL
-$88.92
Record
48%
1352-1466 (2818)
Invested
$308.99
Value
—
PnL
-$308.99
Record
13%
11-77 (88)
Invested
$250
Value
—
PnL
-$250
Record
26%
11-32 (43)
Invested
$9.35
Value
—
PnL
-$9.35
Record
67%
1646-799 (2445)
Invested
$21.45
Value
—
PnL
+$1.59
Record
57%
1748-1293 (3041)
Invested
$88.75
Value
—
PnL
-$88.75
Record
34%
165-323 (488)
Invested
$5.07
Value
—
PnL
-$5.07
Record
55%
581-483 (1064)
Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
47%
515-579 (1094)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $2.1K
hoodquant
Down — $1.6K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $743.69
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $271.92
stepahead
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $89.99
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $89.25
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $40