Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 55%
$5.0K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$14.03 | 98% 1426-30 (1456) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $1.0K | $951.9 | -$56.56 | 51% 894-867 (1761) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 87.5¢ | $778.07 | $688.24 | -$89.83 | 45% 367-452 (819) |
BO bosona | Downavg 91.9¢ | $835.45 | $636.8 | -$198.65 | 50% 3687-3712 (7399) |
AL almach | Downavg 90.1¢ | $675.6 | $504 | -$171.6 | 44% 451-572 (1023) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 84.6¢ | $367.09 | $323.8 | +$0.22 | 53% 825-745 (1570) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 74.2¢ | $294.96 | $275.67 | -$19.29 | 54% 3604-3021 (6625) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 68.3¢ | $203.8 | $171.09 | -$32.71 | 57% 4204-3155 (7359) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Upavg 35.5¢ | $174.5 | — | -$174.5 | 44% 457-583 (1040) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Upavg 48.9¢ | $102.01 | — | -$102.01 | 48% 1056-1134 (2190) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $66 | — | -$66 | 75% 532-179 (711) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $39.99 | — | -$39.99 | 18% 83-387 (470) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $23.85 | $31.52 | +$7.67 | 65% 1333-709 (2042) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $12.68 | $14.17 | +$1.49 | 60% 927-624 (1551) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.7¢ | $27.4 | — | -$11.79 | 52% 3430-3194 (6624) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $3.6 | $5 | +$1.4 | 45% 712-884 (1596) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9¢ | $22.91 | — | -$2.2 | 62% 1526-942 (2468) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Upavg 14.1¢ | $108.47 | — | -$108.47 | 62% 2398-1492 (3890) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972CTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $28.5 | — | -$28.5 | 32% 146-312 (458) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 39% 529-840 (1369) |
Invested
$1,388.97
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$14.03
Record
98%
1426-30 (1456)
Invested
$1,008.45
Value
$951.9
PnL
-$56.56
Record
51%
894-867 (1761)
Invested
$778.07
Value
$688.24
PnL
-$89.83
Record
45%
367-452 (819)
Invested
$835.45
Value
$636.8
PnL
-$198.65
Record
50%
3687-3712 (7399)
Invested
$675.6
Value
$504
PnL
-$171.6
Record
44%
451-572 (1023)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$367.09
Value
$323.8
PnL
+$0.22
Record
53%
825-745 (1570)
Invested
$294.96
Value
$275.67
PnL
-$19.29
Record
54%
3604-3021 (6625)
Invested
$203.8
Value
$171.09
PnL
-$32.71
Record
57%
4204-3155 (7359)
Invested
$174.5
Value
—
PnL
-$174.5
Record
44%
457-583 (1040)
Invested
$102.01
Value
—
PnL
-$102.01
Record
48%
1056-1134 (2190)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$66
Value
—
PnL
-$66
Record
75%
532-179 (711)
Invested
$39.99
Value
—
PnL
-$39.99
Record
18%
83-387 (470)
Invested
$23.85
Value
$31.52
PnL
+$7.67
Record
65%
1333-709 (2042)
Invested
$12.68
Value
$14.17
PnL
+$1.49
Record
60%
927-624 (1551)
Invested
$27.4
Value
—
PnL
-$11.79
Record
52%
3430-3194 (6624)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.4
Record
45%
712-884 (1596)
Invested
$22.91
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
62%
1526-942 (2468)
Invested
$108.47
Value
—
PnL
-$108.47
Record
62%
2398-1492 (3890)
Invested
$28.5
Value
—
PnL
-$28.5
Record
32%
146-312 (458)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
39%
529-840 (1369)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.4K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $951.9
CrouchPredictions
Down — $688.24
bosona
Down — $636.8
almach
Down — $504
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $323.8
stepahead
Down — $275.67
Hcrystallash
Down — $171.09
mo-money
CTRUp — $0
38791873984189
CTRUp — $0