Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 56%
2 arb excluded
$13.2K
$625.33
Smart Money Signal
14 of 25 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 80¢ | $3.2K | $4.0K | +$808.89 | 62% 2278-1379 (3657) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $1.8K | $1.7K | -$101.39 | 53% 678-592 (1270) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 92.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.6K | +$112.23 | 57% 4059-3065 (7124) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 92.1¢ | $1.1K | $1.0K | -$59.07 | 41% 317-458 (775) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 79.3¢ | $941.31 | $819.29 | -$117.68 | 54% 632-542 (1174) |
KA KARIZMATIKU | Upavg 53.6¢ | $374 | $697.25 | +$323.25 | 2% 3-132 (135) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 51.1¢ | $710.63 | $1.4K | +$680.5 | 43% 498-671 (1169) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 63.8¢ | $663.26 | $603.96 | -$59.3 | 54% 3478-2923 (6401) |
BO bosona | Upavg 85.4¢ | $568.21 | $457.93 | -$110.27 | 50% 3547-3589 (7136) |
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100 | Downavg 38.5¢ | $521.9 | $350 | -$171.9 | 47% 282-317 (599) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 70.6¢ | $247.03 | $350 | +$102.97 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.5¢ | $274.87 | — | -$274.87 | |
AL almach | Upavg 96.8¢ | $545.04 | $345.14 | -$199.91 | 41% 315-447 (762) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 47.6¢ | $287.09 | — | -$287.09 | 48% 802-884 (1686) |
 MayorMamdaniARB<$100 | Upavg 72.9¢ | $55.29 | $45 | -$10.29 | 52% 662-606 (1268) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 72.9¢ | $32.79 | $45 | +$12.21 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 10.9¢ | $22.5 | — | -$22.5 | |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $45.5 | $52.3 | +$6.8 | 29% 122-305 (427) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $33.59 | — | -$33.59 | 49% 532-558 (1090) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $44.83 | $41 | +$2.92 | 61% 1101-706 (1807) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $19.39 | $23 | +$3.61 | 45% 500-607 (1107) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $21.56 | $22 | +$0.44 | 65% 993-525 (1518) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.6¢ | $27.33 | — | -$27.33 | 49% 2852-2967 (5819) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $19.21 | — | -$19.21 | 51% 266-256 (522) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $19.5 | — | -$19.5 | 77% 386-114 (500) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 52% 3162-2947 (6109) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 58% 993-717 (1710) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 44% 511-656 (1167) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.8¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 58% 690-506 (1196) |
Invested
$3,231.02
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$808.89
Record
62%
2278-1379 (3657)
Invested
$1,807.75
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$101.39
Record
53%
678-592 (1270)
Invested
$1,442.77
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$112.23
Record
57%
4059-3065 (7124)
Invested
$1,089.53
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$59.07
Record
41%
317-458 (775)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$941.31
Value
$819.29
PnL
-$117.68
Record
54%
632-542 (1174)
Invested
$374
Value
$697.25
PnL
+$323.25
Record
2%
3-132 (135)
Invested
$710.63
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$680.5
Record
43%
498-671 (1169)
Invested
$663.26
Value
$603.96
PnL
-$59.3
Record
54%
3478-2923 (6401)
Invested
$568.21
Value
$457.93
PnL
-$110.27
Record
50%
3547-3589 (7136)
Invested
$521.9
Value
$350
PnL
-$171.9
Record
47%
282-317 (599)
Both legs:
Invested
$545.04
Value
$345.14
PnL
-$199.91
Record
41%
315-447 (762)
Invested
$287.09
Value
—
PnL
-$287.09
Record
48%
802-884 (1686)
MayorMamdaniARB<$100Invested
$55.29
Value
$45
PnL
-$10.29
Record
52%
662-606 (1268)
Both legs:
Invested
$45.5
Value
$52.3
PnL
+$6.8
Record
29%
122-305 (427)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$33.59
Value
—
PnL
-$33.59
Record
49%
532-558 (1090)
Invested
$44.83
Value
$41
PnL
+$2.92
Record
61%
1101-706 (1807)
Invested
$19.39
Value
$23
PnL
+$3.61
Record
45%
500-607 (1107)
Invested
$21.56
Value
$22
PnL
+$0.44
Record
65%
993-525 (1518)
Invested
$27.33
Value
—
PnL
-$27.33
Record
49%
2852-2967 (5819)
Invested
$19.21
Value
—
PnL
-$19.21
Record
51%
266-256 (522)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$19.5
Value
—
PnL
-$19.5
Record
77%
386-114 (500)
Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
52%
3162-2947 (6109)
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
58%
993-717 (1710)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
44%
511-656 (1167)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
58%
690-506 (1196)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $4.0K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.7K
Hcrystallash
Up — $1.6K
mo-money
Up — $1.0K
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $819.29
KARIZMATIKU
Up — $697.25
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $1.4K
stepahead
Up — $603.96
bosona
Up — $457.93
CrouchPredictions
ARBArbitrage — excluded