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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

22

Up 68%

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$103.66

Smart Money Signal

Up

15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up15 traders

Total Value$2.7K

Total Shares2,692

Combined PnL+$196.47

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares999

Combined PnL-$300.13

Up — 68%Down — 32%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 78.6¢	$674.29	$647.97	-$26.32	56% 16023-12652 (28675)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 60.6¢	$475.78	$497.95	+$22.18	59% 11420-7847 (19267)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 61.5¢	$288.57	$320	+$31.43	30% 12269-28216 (40485)
G-Penis-Monster	Upavg 59.9¢	$233.52	$271.06	+$37.54	61% 46285-29472 (75757)
95 0x954b...c0e0	Upavg 79.6¢	$187.75	$235.95	+$48.2	—
BoneOhio	Upavg 70¢	$148	$211.45	+$63.45	74% 105203-37122 (142325)
ohioism	Upavg 52.4¢	$117.46	$150	+$32.54	63% 42627-25355 (67982)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 97.1¢	$190.23	$129.72	-$60.51	58% 3248-2345 (5593)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR	Downavg 47.1¢	$161.77	—	-$161.77	56% 60779-47271 (108050)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 41.5¢	$92.45	$112.84	+$20.39	58% 63507-46701 (110208)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$36.53	—	-$36.53	67% 22516-10876 (33392)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 82¢	$22.96	$28	+$5.04	66% 130972-67764 (198736)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 82¢	$22.96	$28	+$5.04	61% 98877-62775 (161652)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 43.8¢	$10.95	$25	+$14.05	65% 130645-70397 (201042)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 72.2¢	$20.96	$20	-$0.96	52% 12432-11475 (23907)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 23.8¢	$31.03	—	-$31.03	48% 6887-7490 (14377)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 60¢	$6.6	$11	+$4.4	51% 12360-11859 (24219)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$13.9	—	-$13.9	55% 52018-43125 (95143)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$3.16	$3.16	+$0	59% 63961-45114 (109075)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$21.88	—	-$21.88	55% 52460-42905 (95365)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$18.39	—	-$18.39	55% 51803-42237 (94040)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 10.3¢	$16.63	—	-$16.63	55% 50273-41876 (92149)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$674.29

Value

$647.97

PnL

-$26.32

Record

56%

16023-12652 (28675)

Invested

$475.78

Value

$497.95

PnL

+$22.18

Record

59%

11420-7847 (19267)

Invested

$288.57

Value

$320

PnL

+$31.43

Record

30%

12269-28216 (40485)

G-Penis-Monster

Invested

$233.52

Value

$271.06

PnL

+$37.54

Record

61%

46285-29472 (75757)

Invested

$187.75

Value

$235.95

PnL

+$48.2

Record

—

Invested

$148

Value

$211.45

PnL

+$63.45

Record

74%

105203-37122 (142325)

Invested

$117.46

Value

$150

PnL

+$32.54

Record

63%

42627-25355 (67982)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$190.23

Value

$129.72

PnL

-$60.51

Record

58%

3248-2345 (5593)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR

Invested

$161.77

Value

—

PnL

-$161.77

Record

56%

60779-47271 (108050)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$92.45

Value

$112.84

PnL

+$20.39

Record

58%

63507-46701 (110208)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100

Invested

$36.53

Value

—

PnL

-$36.53

Record

67%

22516-10876 (33392)

Invested

$22.96

Value

$28

PnL

+$5.04

Record

66%

130972-67764 (198736)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$22.96

Value

$28

PnL

+$5.04

Record

61%

98877-62775 (161652)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$10.95

Value

$25

PnL

+$14.05

Record

65%

130645-70397 (201042)

Invested

$20.96

Value

$20

PnL

-$0.96

Record

52%

12432-11475 (23907)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$31.03

Value

—

PnL

-$31.03

Record

48%

6887-7490 (14377)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$6.6

Value

$11

PnL

+$4.4

Record

51%

12360-11859 (24219)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$13.9

Value

—

PnL

-$13.9

Record

55%

52018-43125 (95143)

Invested

$3.16

Value

$3.16

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

63961-45114 (109075)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$21.88

Value

—

PnL

-$21.88

Record

55%

52460-42905 (95365)

Invested

$18.39

Value

—

PnL

-$18.39

Record

55%

51803-42237 (94040)

Invested

$16.63

Value

—

PnL

-$16.63

Record

55%

50273-41876 (92149)

Smart Money Signal

Up

15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4637aaac...bc1705

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794140100

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

Up — $647.97

1000monkeys

Up — $497.95

Hcrystallash

Up — $320

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $271.06

0x954b...c0e0

Up — $235.95

BoneOhio

Up — $211.45

ohioism

Up — $150

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $129.72

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $112.84

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