Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 67%
$1.9K
-$537.37
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 68.9¢ | $813.96 | $816.97 | +$3.01 | 56% 16023-12652 (28675) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 53.5¢ | $556.05 | $603.94 | +$47.89 | 59% 11420-7847 (19267) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $106.33 | $108.5 | +$2.17 | 89% 29663-3561 (33224) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $91.64 | $98 | +$6.36 | 73% 95492-36137 (131629) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 22.8¢ | $36.53 | $85 | +$48.47 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.7¢ | $48 | — | -$48 | 67% 22516-10876 (33392) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 94.4¢ | $94.39 | $100 | +$5.61 | 58% 3248-2345 (5593) |
 NIULAI4<$100 | Downavg 93.4¢ | $29.9 | $32 | +$2.1 | 75% 9961-3335 (13296) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $26.24 | $25 | -$1.24 | 52% 12432-11475 (23907) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 92.3¢ | $9.75 | $10.57 | +$0.82 | 67% 1882-944 (2826) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $4.93 | $5.33 | +$0.4 | 64% 5030-2825 (7855) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Upavg 56.3¢ | $500.79 | — | -$500.79 | 30% 12269-28216 (40485) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $33.22 | — | -$33.22 | 58% 63507-46701 (110208) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.9¢ | $35.59 | — | -$35.59 | 63% 42627-25355 (67982) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | $35.35 | — | -$35.35 | 61% 46285-29472 (75757) |
Invested
$813.96
Value
$816.97
PnL
+$3.01
Record
56%
16023-12652 (28675)
Invested
$556.05
Value
$603.94
PnL
+$47.89
Record
59%
11420-7847 (19267)
Invested
$106.33
Value
$108.5
PnL
+$2.17
Record
89%
29663-3561 (33224)
Invested
$91.64
Value
$98
PnL
+$6.36
Record
73%
95492-36137 (131629)
Invested
$36.53
Value
$85
PnL
+$48.47
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$48
Value
—
PnL
-$48
Record
67%
22516-10876 (33392)
Invested
$94.39
Value
$100
PnL
+$5.61
Record
58%
3248-2345 (5593)
NIULAI4<$100Invested
$29.9
Value
$32
PnL
+$2.1
Record
75%
9961-3335 (13296)
Invested
$26.24
Value
$25
PnL
-$1.24
Record
52%
12432-11475 (23907)
Invested
$9.75
Value
$10.57
PnL
+$0.82
Record
67%
1882-944 (2826)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.93
Value
$5.33
PnL
+$0.4
Record
64%
5030-2825 (7855)
Invested
$500.79
Value
—
PnL
-$500.79
Record
30%
12269-28216 (40485)
Invested
$33.22
Value
—
PnL
-$33.22
Record
58%
63507-46701 (110208)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$35.59
Value
—
PnL
-$35.59
Record
63%
42627-25355 (67982)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$35.35
Value
—
PnL
-$35.35
Record
61%
46285-29472 (75757)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $816.97
1000monkeys
Down — $603.94
hoodquant
Down — $108.5
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down — $98
asdcaxz
Down — $85
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $100
NIULAI4
Down — $32
PBot-5
Down — $25
asabovesobelow2
Down — $10.57