Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Down 81%
$6.8K
$1.1K
Smart Money Signal
26 of 32 top traders (81%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.1¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$28.43 | 93% 24866-1838 (26704) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 58.7¢ | $399.05 | $674.55 | +$275.5 | 54% 15487-13374 (28861) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 72.1¢ | $598.26 | $596.15 | -$2.1 | 57% 10517-7885 (18402) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 61.6¢ | $450.97 | $461.51 | +$10.55 | 60% 7816-5265 (13081) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 60.3¢ | $283.23 | $421 | +$137.77 | 56% 15085-11833 (26918) |
BO bosona | Downavg 51¢ | $255 | $500 | +$245 | 55% 50451-40567 (91018) |
RL RLWG | Downavg 61.4¢ | $234.5 | $375 | +$140.5 | 50% 8062-8069 (16131) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 49.2¢ | $239.91 | $487.5 | +$247.59 | 57% 72544-55201 (127745) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 44¢ | $172.67 | $392.43 | +$219.76 | 55% 51158-41686 (92844) |
SU suntori | Downavg 94.9¢ | $242.77 | $255.84 | +$13.07 | 45% 12937-15707 (28644) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 60.6¢ | $172.92 | $186.83 | +$13.9 | 57% 6824-5059 (11883) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Upavg 25.8¢ | $227.91 | — | -$227.91 | 29% 11004-26846 (37850) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 79.3¢ | $140.44 | $177 | +$36.56 | 54% 46586-38972 (85558) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 92¢ | $171.8 | $135 | -$36.8 | 48% 4685-5102 (9787) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 52.6¢ | $88.3 | $167.83 | +$79.53 | 35% 19300-36356 (55656) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 53.1¢ | $108.63 | $174 | +$67.32 | 50% 37381-37254 (74635) |
FA FatSlagCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $77.82 | — | -$77.82 | 49% 10269-10780 (21049) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 44.1¢ | $34.5 | $45 | +$10.5 | 56% 59008-45580 (104588) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $55.4 | $34.45 | -$9.94 | 64% 25897-14422 (40319) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91.2¢ | $40.53 | $37.29 | -$3.24 | 52% 91929-86332 (178261) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $37.44 | — | -$37.44 | 51% 10167-9750 (19917) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 58.4¢ | $29.56 | $32.81 | +$3.25 | 66% 127863-65778 (193641) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $21.41 | $20 | -$1.41 | 44% 694-891 (1585) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $18.23 | $21.13 | +$2.9 | 61% 96578-60871 (157449) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $18.25 | $25 | +$6.75 | 63% 40974-23588 (64562) |
Invested
$1,465.57
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$28.43
Record
93%
24866-1838 (26704)
Invested
$399.05
Value
$674.55
PnL
+$275.5
Record
54%
15487-13374 (28861)
Invested
$598.26
Value
$596.15
PnL
-$2.1
Record
57%
10517-7885 (18402)
Invested
$450.97
Value
$461.51
PnL
+$10.55
Record
60%
7816-5265 (13081)
Invested
$283.23
Value
$421
PnL
+$137.77
Record
56%
15085-11833 (26918)
Invested
$255
Value
$500
PnL
+$245
Record
55%
50451-40567 (91018)
Invested
$234.5
Value
$375
PnL
+$140.5
Record
50%
8062-8069 (16131)
Invested
$239.91
Value
$487.5
PnL
+$247.59
Record
57%
72544-55201 (127745)
Invested
$172.67
Value
$392.43
PnL
+$219.76
Record
55%
51158-41686 (92844)
Invested
$242.77
Value
$255.84
PnL
+$13.07
Record
45%
12937-15707 (28644)
Invested
$172.92
Value
$186.83
PnL
+$13.9
Record
57%
6824-5059 (11883)
Invested
$227.91
Value
—
PnL
-$227.91
Record
29%
11004-26846 (37850)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$140.44
Value
$177
PnL
+$36.56
Record
54%
46586-38972 (85558)
Invested
$171.8
Value
$135
PnL
-$36.8
Record
48%
4685-5102 (9787)
Invested
$88.3
Value
$167.83
PnL
+$79.53
Record
35%
19300-36356 (55656)
Invested
$108.63
Value
$174
PnL
+$67.32
Record
50%
37381-37254 (74635)
Invested
$77.82
Value
—
PnL
-$77.82
Record
49%
10269-10780 (21049)
Invested
$34.5
Value
$45
PnL
+$10.5
Record
56%
59008-45580 (104588)
Invested
$55.4
Value
$34.45
PnL
-$9.94
Record
64%
25897-14422 (40319)
Invested
$40.53
Value
$37.29
PnL
-$3.24
Record
52%
91929-86332 (178261)
Invested
$37.44
Value
—
PnL
-$37.44
Record
51%
10167-9750 (19917)
Invested
$29.56
Value
$32.81
PnL
+$3.25
Record
66%
127863-65778 (193641)
Invested
$21.41
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.41
Record
44%
694-891 (1585)
Invested
$18.23
Value
$21.13
PnL
+$2.9
Record
61%
96578-60871 (157449)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.75
Record
63%
40974-23588 (64562)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.5K
aswfadq1555
Down — $674.55
trdyugiolkw
Down — $596.15
1000monkeys
Down — $461.51
CrouchPredictions
Down — $421
bosona
Down — $500
RLWG
Down — $375
uninformedfloww
Down — $487.5
mo-money
Down — $392.43
suntori
Down — $255.84